- The Mariners are -140 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians starting pitcher: Aaron Civale
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The Cleveland Guardians (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-140) on Saturday, April 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Guardians vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 0-0 ATS.
Guardians vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -185 | O 7 -105 | +115 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +150 | U 7 -115 | -140 |
Guardians vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.30 Units / 78% ROI)
- Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.25 Units / 162% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.00 Units / 150% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Taylor Trammell has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Mariners vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Tommy La Stella | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jarred Kelenic | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
Mariners vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Tommy La Stella | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jarred Kelenic | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
Mariners vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Tommy La Stella | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -500 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| RBis will Jarred Kelenic | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Mariners vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Aaron Civale | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +110 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 96 of their last 170 games (+20.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 away games (+17.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 41 away games (+15.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 85 away games (+6.90 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 away games (+3.98 Units / 9% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games at home (+11.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 83 games at home (+10.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 87 games (+4.85 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 93 of their last 168 games (+4.85 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.40 Units / 41% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 56% of Aaron Civale’s pitches (593/1,065) with two-strikes since the 2021 season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 61% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .126 (12 GB hits out of 95 GBs) against Aaron Civale with the shift since the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .219 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 35% (18/51) versus Aaron Civale on inside fastballs in 2022 — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (31/100) against Aaron Civale on inside fastballs since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .476 (39-for-82) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — second Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 28% (153/537) versus Logan Gilbert in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 53 of Logan Gilbert’s 287 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 34% (172/508) against Logan Gilbert with two-strikes in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Guardians were 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Guardians are 17-126 (.119) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.
The Guardians were 13-10 (.565) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are just 4-131 (.030) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Mariners are 33-11 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 99-91 (.521) when underdogs since the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Mariners are 30-17 (.638) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners were 40-6 (.870) when totaling 10 or more hits in 2022 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters struck out just 1,122 times in 6,163 PA’s (18%) in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters had 93 extra-base hits out of 341 total hits (just 27%) against LHP in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Guardians hitters missed on just 21% of swings in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 795 times in 4,584 PA’s (17%) against RHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .218 at home since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .171 on pitches out of the zone since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .129 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
The Guardians pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Guardians pitchers walked 88 of 1,460 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians pitchers had an ERA of 3.30 (686.1 IP) against division opponents in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Guardians pitchers walked 435 of 5,989 batters (7%) in 2022 — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners pitchers have won 35% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mariners vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hand, D10
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Sam D. Hentges (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
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