- The Guardians are -110 favorites vs the Mariners
- Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill
- Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Cleveland Guardians (-110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-110) on Sunday, April 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Guardians vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 2-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 1-2 ATS.
Guardians vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -110 | -110 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -110 | -110 |
Guardians vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.30 Units / 78% ROI)
- Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.25 Units / 162% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.00 Units / 150% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Taylor Trammell has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Mariners vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Mariners vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -225 |
Mariners vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Quantrill | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
| Marco Gonzales | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -140 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 98 of their last 172 games (+22.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 away games (+17.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 41 away games (+15.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 87 away games (+8.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 away games (+3.98 Units / 9% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games at home (+11.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 85 games at home (+10.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 87 games (+4.85 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 61% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 2-1 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 23.26% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 51.67% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -37.88% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 25.76% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 1-2 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -23.53% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -46.99% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -37.88% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 25.76% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 15% (115/778) against Cal Quantrill in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
30 of Cal Quantrill’s 101 breaking pitch strikeouts (30%) have been backdoor since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.
Cal Quantrill had a strike rate of just 62% (533/861) in two strike counts in 2022 — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 19% (94/499) against Cal Quantrill in 2022 — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marco Gonzales had a strikeout rate of just 13% (103/783) in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (1,540/3,626) in non-two strike counts since the 2021 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 97th Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has located his fastball inside 51% of the time (1,138/2,243) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 16% (83/532) against Marco Gonzales in 2022 — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Guardians were 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Guardians were 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Guardians were 18-37 (.327) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Guardians were 52-7 (.881) when totaling 10 or more hits in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Mariners are 33-11 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners were 17-35 (.327) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Mariners are 76-28 (.731) when scoring in the first inning since the 2021 season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .653.
The Mariners are 115-20 (.852) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2021 season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters struck out just 795 times in 4,584 PA’s (17%) against RHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters missed on just 21% of swings in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 1,122 times in 6,163 PA’s (18%) in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters slugged just .343 against LHP in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .218 at home since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Mariners batted just .223 at home in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Mariners are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers walked 88 of 1,460 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Guardians pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Guardians pitchers walked 435 of 5,989 batters (7%) in 2022 — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The longest HR allowed by the Guardians pitchers in 2022 traveled 446.0 feet — — 2nd shortest in MLB; League Avg: 464.1
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners pitchers have won 33% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2021 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Mariners vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hand, D10
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Sam D. Hentges (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
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