Guardians vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 26

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 26, 2022, 9:03 AM
  • The Guardians (66-57) are -115 favorites vs the Mariners (68-57)
  • Guardians starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: , ERA
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The Cleveland Guardians (-115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-105) on Friday, August 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Guardians vs Mariners Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Guardians are 66-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 63-59 ATS.

Guardians vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians-1.5 +155O 6.5 +105-115
Mariners +1.5 -190U 6.5 -125-105

Guardians vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s matchup with 52.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Guardians and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+14.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 43 games (+13.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+12.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 49 games at home (+19.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+14.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+13.25 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 60 of his last 91 games (+12.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Mariners vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adam Frazier 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
    Cal Raleigh 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
    Carlos Santana 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
    Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
    J.P. Crawford 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000

    Mariners vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adam Frazier 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
    Cal Raleigh 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
    Carlos Santana 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
    Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
    J.P. Crawford 0.5 -155 0.5 +110

    Mariners vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adam Frazier 0.5 +300 0.5 -550
    Cal Raleigh 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
    Carlos Santana 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
    Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
    J.P. Crawford 0.5 +320 0.5 -550

    Mariners vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Logan Gilbert 4.5 -120 4.5 -115
    Shane Bieber 6.5 -140 6.5 -105
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 23 away games (+13.20 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 away games (+11.60 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 53 away games (+11.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 64 away games (+7.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 43 away games (+7.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+14.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+12.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+5.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+5.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 66-56 against the Run Line (+5.55 Units / 3.59% ROI).

    • 66-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.6 Units / 7.67% ROI
    • 55-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.65 Units / -7.19% ROI
    • 59-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -1.04% ROI

    Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 63-59 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units / -3.42% ROI).

    • 67-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.1 Units / 6.74% ROI
    • 58-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.9 Units / -3.66% ROI
    • 58-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.4 Units / -4% ROI

    Shane Bieber has allowed a slugging percentage of just .154 (31 Total Bases / 201 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 97th Percentile.

    Shane Bieber has a strikeout rate of just 13% (11 SO in 87 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 10th Percentile.

    Shane Bieber has located his fastball away 57% of the time (420/735) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% (78/149) against Shane Bieber in two-strike counts this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 85th Percentile.

    : Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 36% (89/250) against Logan Gilbert this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — ninth Percentile.

    Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (122/423) against Logan Gilbert this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .444 (28-for-63) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .327 — third Percentile.

    Right-handed batters are hitting .278 (88-for-316) against Logan Gilbert this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 16th Percentile.

    Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

    The Guardians are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Guardians are 45-1 (.978) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .887.

    The Guardians are 44-4 (.917) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .800.

    The Guardians are 10-50 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .084.

    Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

    The Mariners are 51-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .916.

    The Mariners are 51-1 (.981) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .887.

    The Mariners are 13-1 (.929) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

    The Mariners are 35-30 (.538) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

    Guardians hitters have just 603 strikeouts in 3,447 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Guardians hitters are slugging just .340 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

    Guardians hitters have just 852 strikeouts in 4,645 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    The Guardians are batting .194 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .159.

    Mariners hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

    The Mariners are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

    The Mariners are batting just .218 at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

    Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

    Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 1.69 (80.0 IP) on the road this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.

    The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

    Guardians pitchers have walked 7 of 199 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (22 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

    Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% over the last 14 days (12 games) — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

    Mariners pitchers have struck out 27% of left-handed batters they faced this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Mariners vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
  • Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
  • Tyler France (Mariners): Calf, Day-to-Day
  • Matthew Boyd (Mariners): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.