- The Guardians (66-57) are -115 favorites vs the Mariners (68-57)
- Guardians starting pitcher: , ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: , ERA
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The Cleveland Guardians (-115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-105) on Friday, August 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Guardians vs Mariners Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Guardians are 66-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 63-59 ATS.
Guardians vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +155 | O 6.5 +105 | -115 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -190 | U 6.5 -125 | -105 |
Guardians vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s matchup with 52.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Mariners vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
Mariners vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
Mariners vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
Mariners vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -115 |
| Shane Bieber | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 66-56 against the Run Line (+5.55 Units / 3.59% ROI).
- 66-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.6 Units / 7.67% ROI
- 55-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.65 Units / -7.19% ROI
- 59-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -1.04% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 63-59 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units / -3.42% ROI).
- 67-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.1 Units / 6.74% ROI
- 58-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.9 Units / -3.66% ROI
- 58-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.4 Units / -4% ROI
: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Bieber has allowed a slugging percentage of just .154 (31 Total Bases / 201 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 97th Percentile.
Shane Bieber has a strikeout rate of just 13% (11 SO in 87 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 10th Percentile.
Shane Bieber has located his fastball away 57% of the time (420/735) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% (78/149) against Shane Bieber in two-strike counts this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 85th Percentile.
: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 36% (89/250) against Logan Gilbert this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — ninth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (122/423) against Logan Gilbert this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .444 (28-for-63) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .327 — third Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .278 (88-for-316) against Logan Gilbert this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 16th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Guardians are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 45-1 (.978) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .887.
The Guardians are 44-4 (.917) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Guardians are 10-50 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .084.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Mariners are 51-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Mariners are 51-1 (.981) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .887.
The Mariners are 13-1 (.929) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Mariners are 35-30 (.538) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 603 strikeouts in 3,447 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .340 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Guardians hitters have just 852 strikeouts in 4,645 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Guardians are batting .194 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .159.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Mariners are batting just .218 at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 1.69 (80.0 IP) on the road this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 7 of 199 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (22 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% over the last 14 days (12 games) — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners pitchers have struck out 27% of left-handed batters they faced this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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