• The Guardians are -105 favorites vs the Marlins
• Guardians vs Marlins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Guardians / Marlins TV Channel: GDTV | MATV

The Cleveland Guardians (-105) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-115) on July 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Guardians are 50-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 52-43 ATS.

Guardians vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Joey Cantillo 7-4, 3.67 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Tyler Phillips 2-3, 3.30 ERA

Guardians vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Guardians vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Brayan Rocchio has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+12.00 Units / 150% ROI)
• Brayan Rocchio has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• Gabriel Arias has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+11.35 Units / 113% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 38% ROI)
• Chase DeLauter has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.45 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Leonardo Jimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+16.50 Units / 412% ROI)
• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.70 Units / 65% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+9.85 Units / 50% ROI)
• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 31% ROI)
• Kyle Stowers has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.70 Units / 29% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 45 away games (+9.25 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.95 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+6.80 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 away games (+6.75 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+5.55 Units / 14% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 35 games (+18.15 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games (+14.85 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.20 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.10 Units / 26% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 46-49 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -4.45% ROI).

• 50-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 2.38% ROI
• 45-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -10.1% ROI
• 51-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 0.99% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 52-43 against the Run Line (+5.65 Units / 4.45% ROI).

• 52-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.75 Units / 7.73% ROI
• 51-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.35 Units / 4.08% ROI
• 42-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.7 Units / -13.07% ROI

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Guardians are 102-8 (.927) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .871.

The Guardians are 50-9 (.833) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .745.

The Guardians are 69-61 (.527) on the road since the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .465.

The Guardians are 173-10 (.945) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .866.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Marlins are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are 40-3 (.930) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .865.

The Marlins are 31-19 (.620) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Marlins are 43-11 (.796) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

The Guardians are batting just .192 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .368 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .217 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have an OBP of just .263 (416 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,712 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .283 this season — best in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

The Marlins have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Marlins have allowed 3.54 runs per game (177/50) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 63% this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .229 against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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