Guardians vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 6

New York Mets' Jeff McNeil plays during a baseball game, Thursday, Sept. 21, 2023, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)
(AP Photo/Matt Slocum)
  • The Mets are -175 favorites vs the Guardians
  • Guardians vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Guardians / Mets TV Channel: GDTV | SNY | MLBN

The Cleveland Guardians (+150) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-185) on Wednesday, August 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens, NY.

This season, the Guardians are 58-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 55-58 ATS.

Guardians vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 6-4, 3.37 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 7-4, 2.86 ERA

Guardians vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians+1.5 -150O 7.5 -110+150
Mets -1.5 +125U 7.5 -110-185

Guardians vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 63.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gabriel Arias has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+16.40 Units / 164% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Gavin Williams has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.05 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Angel Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+10.15 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Pete Alonso has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+11.55 Units / 192% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • David Peterson has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.60 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 36 away games (+14.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 33 away games (+11.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 110 games (+8.14 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games (+5.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 58 games at home (+7.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 58 games at home (+6.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 72 games (+6.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+6.00 Units / 23% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 59-53 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -0.53% ROI).

  • 58-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 1.61% ROI
  • 51-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.5 Units / -9.35% ROI
  • 58-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 1.67% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 55-58 against the Run Line (-2.81 Units / -1.98% ROI).

  • 63-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -2.39% ROI
  • 50-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.5 Units / -13.11% ROI
  • 60-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.7 Units / 3.76% ROI

Mets vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Juan Soto (NYM) 0.5 +400 0.5 -525
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Mets vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Steven Kwan (CLE) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Angel Martรญnez (CLE) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Jeff McNeil (NYM) 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Mets vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 +180 0.5 -235
Juan Soto (NYM) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275

Mets vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
David Peterson (NYM) 4.5 -150 4.5 +115
Gavin Williams (CLE) 5.5 -105 5.5 -125

Left-handed batters are hitting just .136 (27-for-199) against Gavin Williams this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 100th Percentile.

Gavin Williams has walked 14% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Gavin Williams has a strike rate of just 61% (1,249/2,049) this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .298 (68-for-228) against Gavin Williams this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

starting pitcher – home

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

keys to the game – away

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

keys to the game – home

team hitters – away

team hitters – home

team pitchers – away

Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Mets pitchers over the last 14 days — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.

Mets pitchers have walked 9% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

More MLB Reading:


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The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.