- The Mets are -150 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill
- Mets starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
- Watch the game on SNY
The Cleveland Guardians (+125) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-150) on Friday, May 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Guardians vs Mets Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 20-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 17-28 ATS.
Guardians vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -155 | O 9 -115 | +125 |
| Mets | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -105 | -150 |
Guardians vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 42 games (+21.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 40 games (+16.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 37 games (+10.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.40 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+9.20 Units / 66% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
Mets vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
Mets vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
Mets vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Mets vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Carrasco | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
| Cal Quantrill | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 36 games (+17.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 27 games (+14.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.05 Units / 19% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 18% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 17-26 against the Run Line (-11.25 Units / -20.74% ROI).
- 20-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -17.24% ROI
- 14-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.45 Units / -30.68% ROI
- 26-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.75 Units / 22.61% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 17-28 against the Run Line (-12.05 Units / -22.03% ROI).
- 22-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.25 Units / -19.36% ROI
- 20-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.9 Units / -13.79% ROI
- 24-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.05 Units / 4.18% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 12% (23 SO in 197 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (54/354) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 12% (25/204) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (54/354) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .710 (66 Total Bases / 93 ABs) on inside fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: .420 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .457 (63-for-138) against Carlos Carrasco when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: .340 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .485 (50-for-103) against Carlos Carrasco when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: .340 — second Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .624 (63 Total Bases / 101 ABs) on elevated fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: .373 — 0 Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Guardians are 22-72 (.234) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Guardians are 6-15 (.286) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Guardians are 16-76 (.174) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .089.
The Guardians are 24-26 (.480) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .349.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Mets are 109-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Mets are just 1-4 (.200) after a home win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .542.
The Mets are 25-17 (.595) after a road loss since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
The Mets are 54-30 (.643) after a loss since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,440 strikeouts in 7,767 PA’s (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,009 strikeouts in 5,660 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .345 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 501 strikeouts in 2,516 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have just 1,561 strikeouts in 7,908 PA’s (20%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mets are batting .183 with two-strikes since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .331 (4,225 PA’s) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 108 of 1,848 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 20 of 388 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 115 of 1,632 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 58% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mets vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- James Yacabonis (Mets): Quad, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D10
- Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Elbow, D15
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
- Tomás Nido (Mets): Eye, D10
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Oblique, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
Bet now on Guardians vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
