- The Guardians are -185 favorites vs the Nationals
- Guardians starting pitcher: Zach Plesac
- Nationals starting pitcher: Chad Kuhl
- Watch the game on MASN
The Cleveland Guardians (-185) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+150) on Saturday, April 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Guardians vs Nationals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 8-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 8-6 ATS.
Guardians vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 -115 | O 9.5 -115 | -185 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -105 | U 9.5 -105 | +150 |
Guardians vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 67.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+13.90 Units / 106% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+10.40 Units / 95% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.00 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+5.30 Units / 88% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+5.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 51% ROI)
Nationals vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Nationals vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
Nationals vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Nationals vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Plesac | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Chad Kuhl | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -140 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.20 Units / 13% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.20 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.40 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+4.60 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.05 Units / 92% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 6-8 against the Run Line (-1.9 Units / -10.8% ROI).
- 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 6.9% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 2.6% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -10.71% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 8-6 against the Run Line (+2.1 Units / 12.61% ROI).
- 4-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -27.14% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -2.29% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -2.58% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Plesac has allowed an OBP of .462 (106 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .316 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .404 (38-for-94) against Zach Plesac with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 0 Percentile.
Zach Plesac has allowed an OPS of 1.111 (106 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .716 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 77% (20/26) against Zach Plesac on pitches in the strike zone this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chad Kuhl has an ERA of 7.88 (64.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 3.92 — first Percentile.
Chad Kuhl has walked 30 of 193 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2020 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .440 (40-for-91) against Chad Kuhl on low fastballs since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .273 — 0 Percentile.
Chad Kuhl has allowed an OPS of .894 (188 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .645 — first Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Guardians are 20-60 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Guardians are 14-63 (.182) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Guardians are 22-20 (.524) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .347.
The Guardians were 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Nationals are just 17-32 (.347) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Nationals are just 0-107 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Nationals are just 109-13 (.893) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Nationals are just 7-9 (.438) when favorites since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .604.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters are slugging just .347 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Guardians hitters have just 878 strikeouts in 5,019 PA’s (17%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,229 strikeouts in 6,730 PA’s (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 35 strikeouts in 237 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .486 (161 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .653 (531 PA’s) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .737.
Nationals hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 117 total hits (just 22%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 476 of 6,534 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 97 of 1,591 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 41 of 545 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Guardians have allowed 3.89 runs per game (346/89) on the road since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Nationals have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .263 against Nationals pitchers with the shift since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .222.
Nationals vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- McKenzie Dickerson (Nationals): Calf, D10
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Ildemaro Vargas (Nationals): Shoulder, D10
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Sam D. Hentges (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Oblique, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
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