- The Guardians (23-24) are -120 favorites vs the Orioles (22-32)
- Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie (3-4), 2.64 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells (2-4), 3.71 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Cleveland Guardians (-120) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+100) on Saturday, June 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Guardians vs Orioles Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Guardians are 23-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 31-23 ATS.
Guardians vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -115 | -120 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -105 | +100 |
Guardians vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s matchup with 66.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Guardians and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.60 Units / 62% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 28 away games (+6.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 27 away games (+6.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 43 games (+6.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+6.30 Units / 25% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 19 games at home (+10.05 Units / 53% ROI)
- Trey Mancini has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+8.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+8.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Trey Mancini has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+6.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- Trey Mancini has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+6.25 Units / 13% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1H Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+4.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1H Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.45 Units / 25% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1H Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+8.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 34 games (+4.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+4.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1H Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.75 Units / 19% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 26-21 against the Run Line (+2.85 Units / 4.71% ROI).
- 23-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -0.74% ROI
- 24-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -0.48% ROI
- 22-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -8.52% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 31-23 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 4.4% ROI).
- 22-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 1.27% ROI
- 22-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.25 Units / -15.61% ROI
- 29-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.25 Units / 8.76% ROI
Triston McKenzie: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .064 (3-for-47) against Triston McKenzie when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (23/84) against Triston McKenzie this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .100 (34-for-341) against Triston McKenzie with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: .168 — 98th Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has allowed a BABIP of .200 this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .283 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (41/182) against Tyler Wells since the start of last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .178 (8-for-45) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .336 — 98th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has a strikeout rate of just 24% (26 SO in 108 PAs) on low non-fastballs since the start of last season — 15th lowest among among 144 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 38% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (35/124) against Tyler Wells in two-strike counts since the start of last season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 46% — third Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Guardians are 3-19 (.136) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .069.
The Guardians are 17-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .931.
The Guardians are just 5-22 (.185) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.
The Guardians are 15-1 (.938) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Orioles are just 18-66 (.214) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .354.
The Orioles are 11-2 (.846) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Orioles are just 8-22 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 25-142 (.150) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have just 328 strikeouts in 1,775 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have just 60 strikeouts in 413 PA’s (14%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Guardians hitters have just 25 strikeouts in 234 PA’s (11%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Orioles have won just 54% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Orioles hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .291 (4,024 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .189 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .224.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.07 (173.0 IP) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 3.84.
The Guardians have won just 0% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 56 double plays in 388 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.20 (905.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.41 (1882.1 IP) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Orioles vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dean Kremer (Orioles): Oblique, D10
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Spenser Watkins (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Krehbiel (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- James Karinchak (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Undisclosed, D60
- Franmil Reyes (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Left Glute, D15
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Guardians and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.