- The – are favorites vs the –
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Cleveland Guardians () visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles () on Monday, May 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Guardians vs Orioles Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 23-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 33-20 ATS.
Guardians vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | O | ||
| Orioles | U |
Guardians vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 68.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 43 of his last 50 games (+29.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 49 games (+17.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- Cam Gallagher has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+10.40 Units / 86% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+13.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+10.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+9.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+9.00 Units / 16% ROI)
Orioles vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
Orioles vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Orioles vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Orioles vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wells | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
| Logan Allen | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +135 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 36 games (+19.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.25 Units / 30% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+13.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 53 games (+9.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+6.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.80 Units / 22% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 22-30 against the Run Line (-9.6 Units / -14.67% ROI).
- 23-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.3 Units / -19.85% ROI
- 16-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.15 Units / -35.32% ROI
- 33-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.6 Units / 27.18% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 33-20 against the Run Line (+12.05 Units / 18.27% ROI).
- 34-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.2 Units / 20.27% ROI
- 27-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 3.43% ROI
- 23-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.55 Units / -11.18% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Wells has allowed an OBP of just .225 (218 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .176 (36-for-205) against Tyler Wells this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 98th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has allowed a BABIP of .167 this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has allowed a BABIP of .150 against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Guardians are 23-74 (.237) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .123.
The Guardians are 7-17 (.292) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .136.
The Guardians are 17-79 (.177) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Guardians were 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Orioles are 11-12 (.478) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Orioles are 6-2 (.750) after a road loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .467.
The Orioles are 35-11 (.761) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .650.
The Orioles are 33-15 (.688) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters are slugging just .338 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .338 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .643 (2,139 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OBP of .339 (1,095 PA’s) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Orioles have scored 203 runs in close and late situations since last season — most in MLB.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 64% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Orioles are batting just .157 with two-strikes since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 115 of 1,920 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 27 of 460 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 578 of 7,916 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .152 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Orioles have won 57% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Oblique, D15
- Peyton Battenfield (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
Bet now on Guardians vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
