• The Orioles are -125 favorites vs the Guardians
• Guardians vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Guardians / Orioles TV Channel: GDTV | MASN

The Cleveland Guardians (+105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-125) on September 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Guardians are 73-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 74-70 ATS.

Guardians vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 5-15, 4.09 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Brandon Young 9-3, 3.45 ERA

Guardians vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Guardians vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Brayan Rocchio has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+17.00 Units / 340% ROI)
• Travis Bazzana has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• Patrick Bailey has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+11.55 Units / 27% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.00 Units / 29% ROI)
• Chase DeLauter has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Dylan Beavers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+15.70 Units / 224% ROI)
• Jackson Holliday has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+14.05 Units / 56% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.20 Units / 37% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.15 Units / 39% ROI)
• Jackson Holliday has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.80 Units / 37% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 away games (+11.05 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 away games (+7.50 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 35 away games (+4.45 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 50 away games (+3.75 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 away games (+2.20 Units / 7% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+15.15 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+10.75 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+5.65 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.10 Units / 14% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 66-78 against the Run Line (-18.3 Units / -9.94% ROI).

• 73-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -4.17% ROI
• 68-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.5 Units / -9.2% ROI
• 76-68 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.15% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 74-70 against the Run Line (-1.7 Units / -0.89% ROI).

• 70-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -6.61% ROI
• 71-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.9 Units / -3.68% ROI
• 70-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.3 Units / -4.59% ROI

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Guardians are 40-5 (.889) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

The Guardians are 118-10 (.922) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Guardians are 68-125 (.352) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Guardians are 31-18 (.633) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Orioles are just 8-28 (.222) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 20-78 (.204) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 74-80 (.481) at home since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

Guardians hitters are slugging just .347 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .227 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .648 (1,698 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .662 (1,670 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters have an OPS of .767 (1,342 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB.

The Orioles have an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH this season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .191 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after their offense scores this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers has induced two-strike counts to 51% of batters they faced (2,797/5,537 PA’s) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers are throwing just 3.82 pitches per plate appearance this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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