- The Padres (68-56) are -150 favorites vs the Guardians (64-56)
- Guardians starting pitcher: Aaron Civale (2-5), 5.62 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael Clevinger (4-4), 3.63 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSD
The Cleveland Guardians (+125) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-150) on Tuesday, August 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Guardians vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Guardians are 64-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 56-65 ATS.
Guardians vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -160 | O 8 -115 | +125 |
| Padres | -1.5 +135 | U 8 -105 | -150 |
Guardians vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs Guardians and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 40 games (+14.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+12.85 Units / 80% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 67% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Bell has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+14.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 51 games (+14.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Wil Myers has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+13.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+13.05 Units / 49% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Under in 40 of his last 53 games (+12.95 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 13 away games (+11.40 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 away games (+10.10 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 away games (+7.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 43 games (+5.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.25 Units / 19% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 55 of their last 99 games (+14.85 Units / 14% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 64-55 against the Run Line (+4.55 Units / 3.03% ROI).
- 64-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.05 Units / 6.79% ROI
- 55-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.55 Units / -5% ROI
- 56-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -3.36% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 56-65 against the Run Line (-12.2 Units / -8.14% ROI).
- 66-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -4.91% ROI
- 57-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -7.08% ROI
- 61-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -1.63% ROI
Aaron Civale: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Civale has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to July 8th — the longest active streak is 8.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (41/123) against Aaron Civale on inside fastballs since the start of 2020 — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 170 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (29/87) against Aaron Civale on inside fastballs since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
50% of Aaron Civale’s called strikeouts are elevated since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Clevinger: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mike Clevinger has allowed an OBP of .412 (51 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 18% (8/44) against Mike Clevinger this month (4 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .326 (14-for-43) against Mike Clevinger with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .169 — second Percentile.
Mike Clevinger has allowed an OPS of .877 (51 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .489 — first Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Guardians are 10-49 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Guardians are 38-5 (.884) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Guardians are 10-9 (.526) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 43-1 (.977) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Padres are just 2-42 (.045) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Padres are 35-26 (.574) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Padres are 22-8 (.733) when scoring in the first inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .663.
The Padres are 23-6 (.793) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians hitters have just 593 strikeouts in 3,394 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .332 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Guardians hitters have just 829 strikeouts in 4,537 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Padres hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone this month (21 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Padres hitters are slugging just .374 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Padres hitters have drawn 74 walks in 588 PA’s (13%) against RHP this month (21 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 5 of 173 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (19 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 3 of 108 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 66 of 1,067 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The longest HR allowed by the Guardians pitchers this season traveled 446.0 feet — — 4th shortest in MLB; League Avg: 459.6
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .190 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.6
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .179 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .219.
Padres pitchers have walked 65 of 1,108 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Padres vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tayler Scott (Padres): Finger, D15
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
- Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Hedges (Guardians): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs Guardians and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.