- The Guardians are -130 favorites vs the Phillies
- Guardians vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Guardians / Phillies TV Channel: GDTV | NSPA
The Cleveland Guardians (-130) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+105) on May 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Guardians are 31-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 15-36 ATS.
Guardians vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Parker Messick 5-1, 2.50 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Andrew Painter 1-4, 5.78 ERA
Guardians vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -118 | -130 |
| Phillies | +1.5 -160 | U 7.5 -102 | +105 |
Guardians vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 away games (+17.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 40 away games (+15.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 away games (+13.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.95 Units / 30% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+6.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+6.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+1.35 Units / 7% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 28-25 against the Run Line (+4.2 Units / 6.34% ROI).
- 31-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.4 Units / 14.75% ROI
- 26-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -5.68% ROI
- 27-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -2.89% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 15-36 against the Run Line (-24.1 Units / -40.2% ROI).
- 25-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.45 Units / -12.68% ROI
- 24-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -5.96% ROI
- 25-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -1.97% ROI
Phillies vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | +250 |
| Jose Ramirez | +375 |
| Kyle Manzardo | +390 |
| Rhys Hoskins | +400 |
| Chase DeLauter | +400 |
Phillies vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chase DeLauter | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Trea Turner | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Phillies vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Otto Kemp | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Travis Bazzana | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Patrick Bailey | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Guardians are 15-7 (.682) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Guardians are 10-1 (.909) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .754.
The Guardians are 21-1 (.955) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .862.
The Guardians are 9-2 (.818) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Phillies are just 1-12 (.077) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Phillies are 6-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Phillies are 21-69 (.233) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .128.
The Phillies are 101-29 (.777) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have a groundball batting average of just .193 this season — lowest in MLB.
Guardians hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Guardians hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.
Guardians hitters are averaging 4.07 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .213 (1,034 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.
The Phillies are batting just .216 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .437 (1,034 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .282 (880 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 35% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have struck out 28% of left-handed batters they faced this season — best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in late innings this season — best in MLB.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .287 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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