Guardians vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 17

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Pittsburgh Pirates' Jack Suwinski follows through on a single during the fourth inning of a baseball game against the Miami Marlins, Saturday, June 24, 2023, in Miami.
(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 17, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Guardians are -125 favorites vs the Pirates
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Xzavion Curry
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Charles Priester
  • Watch the game on SportsNet PT

The Cleveland Guardians (-125) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+105) on Monday, July 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.

The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Guardians vs Pirates Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Guardians are 45-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 43-50 ATS.

Guardians vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians-1.5 +135O 9 -105-125
Pirates +1.5 -160U 9 -115+105

Guardians vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 65.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Guardians vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Will Brennan has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.15 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.70 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Henry Davis has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.45 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+9.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jared Triolo has hit the Singles Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jared Triolo has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 48% ROI)

Pirates vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Will Brennan 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Liover Peguero 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Steven Kwan 0.5 +1100 0.5

Pirates vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Will Brennan 1.5 +190 1.5 -250
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Liover Peguero 0.5 -130 0.5 +100
Steven Kwan 1.5 +165 1.5 -225

Pirates vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Will Brennan 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
RBis will Liover Peguero 0.5 +290 0.5 -400
Steven Kwan 0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Pirates vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Priester 2.5 -150 2.5 +115
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 77 games (+17.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 51 games (+8.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games (+7.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 42 games (+2.40 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 65 games (+17.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+11.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+0.40 Units / 4% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 45-48 against the Run Line (-3.8 Units / -3.23% ROI).

  • 45-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -10.19% ROI
  • 36-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.7 Units / -22.09% ROI
  • 53-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.85 Units / 13.58% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 43-50 against the Run Line (-19.65 Units / -15.87% ROI).

  • 41-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -4.93% ROI
  • 46-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 42-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.2 Units / -8.02% ROI

starting pitcher – away

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

starting pitcher – home

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

keys to the game – away

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

keys to the game – home

team hitters – away

team hitters – home

team pitchers – away

team pitchers – home

Pirates vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jarlín García (Pirates): Arm, D60
  • Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Jose Hernandez (Pirates): Calf, D15
  • Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
  • William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
  • Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Ji Hwan Bae (Pirates): Ankle, D10
  • Shane Bieber (Guardians): Elbow, D15
  • Cal Quantrill (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
  • Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D60
  • Peyton Battenfield (Guardians): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.