- The Rangers are -160 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The Cleveland Guardians (+135) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-160) on Saturday, July 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Guardians vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 45-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 54-38 ATS.
Guardians vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 +100 | +135 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 -120 | -160 |
Guardians vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 70.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+7.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Earned Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.45 Units / 56% ROI)
- Nathan Eovaldi has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 61% ROI)
Rangers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Freeman | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
Rangers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Freeman | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rangers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Freeman | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Rangers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games (+17.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 49 games (+8.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+4.40 Units / 9% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 84 games (+20.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+12.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 84 games (+4.05 Units / 3% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 44-47 against the Run Line (-3.4 Units / -2.97% ROI).
- 45-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.15 Units / -8.66% ROI
- 35-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.5 Units / -22.41% ROI
- 52-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.9 Units / 13.91% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 54-38 against the Run Line (+17.35 Units / 15.29% ROI).
- 53-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 2.44% ROI
- 48-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.55 Units / 6.48% ROI
- 38-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.9 Units / -14.69% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gavin Williams has allowed a slugging percentage of .583 (14 Total Bases / 24 ABs) against right-handed batters — 7th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .385 — 10th Percentile.
Gavin Williams has allowed an OPS of .950 (52 PA’s) — 10th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .699 — 11th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .259 (7-for-27) against Gavin Williams with two-strikes — 9th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .170 — 12th Percentile.
Gavin Williams has a strikeout rate of just 30% (9 SO in 30 PAs) with two-strikes — 10th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 12th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney has allowed a slugging percentage of .468 (80 Total Bases / 171 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .307 — second Percentile.
Andrew Heaney allowed an OPS of 1.676 (18 PA’s) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .727 — first Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 54% (175/327) of the time this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has thrown elevated pitches 50% of the time (154/307) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Guardians are 27-84 (.243) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .127.
The Guardians are 18-91 (.165) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Guardians are 85-10 (.895) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Guardians are 28-66 (.298) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .201.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rangers are just 54-42 (.562) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.
The Rangers are just 0-27 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Rangers are just 104-17 (.860) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Rangers are just 4-102 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .091.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,260 strikeouts in 7,055 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have just 645 strikeouts in 3,438 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have just 465 strikeouts in 2,471 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .365 (945 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .277 (1,895 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .840 (945 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
The Rangers are batting .296 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 144 of 2,282 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 56 of 822 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.17 (915.2 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.07.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have struck out just 11% of left-handed batters they faced over the last 14 days (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 206 of 2,258 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .200 against Rangers pitchers with the shift this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Rangers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Shane Bieber (Guardians): Forearm, Day-to-Day
- Cal Quantrill (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Peyton Battenfield (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
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