- The Rangers (65-85) are +100 underdogs vs the Guardians (84-67)
- Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill (13-5), 3.56 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Glenn Otto (6-9), 4.88 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Cleveland Guardians (-120) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+100) on Saturday, September 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Guardians vs Rangers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Guardians are 84-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 80-69 ATS.
Guardians vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -115 | -120 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -105 | +100 |
Guardians vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s matchup with 52.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 33 away games (+14.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Over in 39 of his last 69 games (+13.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- Shane Bieber has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+11.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Triston McKenzie has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+11.00 Units / 41% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 67 of his last 111 games (+22.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 25 of his last 29 games (+22.30 Units / 63% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 45 games (+19.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 42 of his last 61 games (+16.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 54 of his last 85 games (+16.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Rangers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bubba Thompson | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Rangers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bubba Thompson | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +105 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +105 |
Rangers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bubba Thompson | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Rangers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Glenn Otto | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -150 |
| Cal Quantrill | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -140 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 66 away games (+19.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 36 away games (+16.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 28 away games (+14.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+7.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 45 games (+6.20 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 61 of their last 111 games (+16.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+13.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 67 games at home (+0.25 Units / 0% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 79-70 against the Run Line (+5.4 Units / 2.88% ROI).
- 84-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.65 Units / 9.98% ROI
- 67-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.1 Units / -8.56% ROI
- 74-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 80-69 against the Run Line (+3.6 Units / 1.88% ROI).
- 64-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.45 Units / -11.32% ROI
- 74-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.05 Units / 1.85% ROI
- 65-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.7 Units / -9.59% ROI
Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cal Quantrill has struck out just 12% (48/392) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (107/732) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
16 of Cal Quantrill’s 53 breaking pitch strikeouts (30%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 97th Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 33% (116 SO in 350 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Glenn Otto: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Glenn Otto has walked 18 of 123 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Glenn Otto has allowed a slugging percentage of just .200 (13 Total Bases / 65 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .414 — 100th Percentile.
Glenn Otto has located his fastball up for a strike just 50% (236/468) of the time this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .138 (9-for-65) against Glenn Otto on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .257 — 99th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Guardians are 15-55 (.214) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Guardians are 58-3 (.951) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .882.
The Guardians are 49-5 (.907) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Guardians are 18-2 (.900) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rangers are just 50-10 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rangers are just 21-67 (.239) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Rangers are 11-9 (.550) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 63-123 (.339) on the road since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,027 strikeouts in 5,743 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have 85 extra-base hits out of 308 total hits (just 28%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .342 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .299 (4,264 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .303 (3,579 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .654 (3,855 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .940 (346 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Guardians pitchers have walked 31 of 571 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (15 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 129 of 1,334 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 536 of 5,724 batters (9%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 20 of 183 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (21 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hip, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
- Nicholas Solak (Rangers): Foot, D60
- Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
- Zach Plesac (Guardians): Hand, D15
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