• The Rays are -145 favorites vs the Guardians
• Guardians vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Guardians / Rays TV Channel: GDTV | RATV

The Cleveland Guardians (+118) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-145) on July 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Guardians are 54-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 58-43 ATS.

Guardians vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Joey Cantillo 8-5, 3.76 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan 8-6, 3.18 ERA

Guardians vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Guardians vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Patrick Bailey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+17.60 Units / 220% ROI)
• Chase DeLauter has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.20 Units / 26% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.35 Units / 24% ROI)
• Brayan Rocchio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.30 Units / 56% ROI)
• Brayan Rocchio has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Victor Mesa Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games (+28.50 Units / 317% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.10 Units / 55% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.55 Units / 57% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+7.95 Units / 28% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+7.60 Units / 14% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 away games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.75 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 away games (+8.40 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+6.95 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.95 Units / 17% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+23.05 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+14.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+11.35 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.10 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.45 Units / 18% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 50-53 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -4.13% ROI).

• 54-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 1.09% ROI
• 49-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.05 Units / -9.72% ROI
• 55-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 0.48% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 58-43 against the Run Line (+22.1 Units / 17.74% ROI).

• 59-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.95 Units / 7.93% ROI
• 46-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.8 Units / -8.78% ROI
• 51-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.05 Units / 0.04% ROI

Rays vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Guardians are 11-1 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .787.

The Guardians are 18-4 (.818) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Guardians are 18-4 (.818) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Guardians are 11-1 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .787.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Rays are 35-15 (.700) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Rays are 47-4 (.922) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .865.

The Rays are 59-43 (.578) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 49-1 (.980) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .903.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

The Guardians are batting just .194 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have an OBP of just .262 (437 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .218 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .668 (1,218 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .279 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .263 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .203 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (273.1 IP) against division opponents this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 37% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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