• The Rays are -135 favorites vs the Guardians
• Guardians vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Guardians / Rays TV Channel: GDTV | RATV

The Cleveland Guardians (+110) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-135) on July 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Guardians are 54-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 59-43 ATS.

Guardians vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 4-9, 3.89 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 9-2, 2.60 ERA

Guardians vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Guardians vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Patrick Bailey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+17.60 Units / 220% ROI)
• Chase DeLauter has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.20 Units / 26% ROI)
• Brayan Rocchio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 49% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.35 Units / 24% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Victor Mesa Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games (+28.50 Units / 317% ROI)
• Nick Martinez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 47% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.60 Units / 46% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.10 Units / 46% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.75 Units / 25% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 away games (+8.45 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+6.20 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.10 Units / 13% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+23.35 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+14.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.10 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.45 Units / 18% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 50-54 against the Run Line (-7.4 Units / -5.44% ROI).

• 54-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 0.28% ROI
• 50-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.05 Units / -8.77% ROI
• 55-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -0.56% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 59-43 against the Run Line (+23.7 Units / 18.88% ROI).

• 60-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.95 Units / 8.64% ROI
• 47-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.8 Units / -7.81% ROI
• 51-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -1.01% ROI

Rays vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Guardians are 18-4 (.818) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Guardians are 11-1 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .788.

The Guardians are 18-4 (.818) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Rays are 39-20 (.661) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Rays are 36-15 (.706) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Rays are 9-34 (.209) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .136.

The Rays are 48-4 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .864.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

The Guardians are batting just .194 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have an OBP of just .263 (439 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .344 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .222 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Rays are batting .265 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .279 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

The Rays have a winning percentage of 71% at home this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .203 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays have won 50% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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