Guardians vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 14

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 14, 2022, 8:01 AM
  • The (37-23) are favorites vs the (37-23)
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Shane Bieber (3-3), 2.90 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela (2-3), 4.82 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The Cleveland Guardians () visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies () on Tuesday, June 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Guardians vs Rockies Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Guardians are 29-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 30-31 ATS.

Guardians vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians O
Rockies U

Guardians vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 63.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rockies vs Guardians and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Myles Straw has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 29 away games (+8.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+7.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 52 games (+7.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+6.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 86% ROI)

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Connor Joe has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Connor Joe has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.20 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+4.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 8 games at home (+4.40 Units / 45% ROI)

Rockies vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
C.J. Cron 0.5 +325 0.5 -600
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Connor Joe 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Elias Diaz 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Rockies vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 -300 0.5 +195
C.J. Cron 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Connor Joe 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Elias Diaz 0.5 -175 0.5 +120

Rockies vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
C.J. Cron 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Connor Joe 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Elias Diaz 0.5 +180 0.5 -275

Rockies vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Antonio Senzatela 2.5 +105 2.5 -150
Shane Bieber 6.5 +110 6.5 -155
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+8.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 54 games (+5.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games (+7.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+6.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 69% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 30-26 against the Run Line (+3.1 Units / 4.46% ROI).

  • 29-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 2.6% ROI
  • 28-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.24% ROI
  • 25-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -9.38% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 30-31 against the Run Line (-6.85 Units / -8.83% ROI).

  • 27-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -2.56% ROI
  • 32-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 3.51% ROI
  • 27-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.5 Units / -12.58% ROI

Shane Bieber has located his pitches away 66% of the time (173/264) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.

Shane Bieber has allowed a slugging percentage of just .253 (25 Total Bases / 99 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 31% (146/474) against Shane Bieber this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 92nd Percentile.

Shane Bieber has struck out 35% (109/312) of left-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.

Antonio Senzatela: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .471 (24-for-51) against Antonio Senzatela versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .230 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .383 (67-for-175) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 38% (30/79) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .516 (16-for-31) against Antonio Senzatela on inside fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .265 — 0 Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Guardians are 5-20 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Guardians are just 8-24 (.250) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Guardians are 19-1 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .902.

The Guardians are 18-1 (.947) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Rockies are 19-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .902.

The Rockies are just 24-26 (.480) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Rockies are just 5-13 (.278) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.

The Rockies are 22-7 (.759) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .633 (588 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Guardians hitters have just 54 strikeouts in 448 PA’s (12%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .332 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.

28% of Guardians hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .637 (4,044 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Rockies hitters are slugging just .330 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .383.

The Rockies are batting .282 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Rockies are batting .279 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .191 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

The Guardians have won just 0% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Guardians have won 50% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 453.2

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Rockies pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 9% of innings played this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Back, D10
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Tyson Blach (Rockies): Wrist, D15
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • James Karinchak (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Undisclosed, D60
  • Franmil Reyes (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
  • Aaron Civale (Guardians): Left Glute, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.