- The – (37-23) are favorites vs the – (37-23)
- Guardians starting pitcher: Shane Bieber (3-3), 2.90 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela (2-3), 4.82 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Cleveland Guardians () visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies () on Tuesday, June 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Guardians vs Rockies Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Guardians are 29-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 30-31 ATS.
Guardians vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | O | ||
| Rockies | U |
Guardians vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 63.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Myles Straw has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 29 away games (+8.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+7.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 52 games (+7.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+6.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 86% ROI)
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Connor Joe has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.20 Units / 67% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+4.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 8 games at home (+4.40 Units / 45% ROI)
Rockies vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Rockies vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 0.5 -300 | 0.5 +195 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
Rockies vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Rockies vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Antonio Senzatela | 2.5 +105 | 2.5 -150 |
| Shane Bieber | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+8.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 54 games (+5.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.45 Units / 19% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games (+7.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+6.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 69% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 30-26 against the Run Line (+3.1 Units / 4.46% ROI).
- 29-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 2.6% ROI
- 28-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.24% ROI
- 25-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -9.38% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 30-31 against the Run Line (-6.85 Units / -8.83% ROI).
- 27-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -2.56% ROI
- 32-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 3.51% ROI
- 27-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.5 Units / -12.58% ROI
Shane Bieber: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Bieber has located his pitches away 66% of the time (173/264) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.
Shane Bieber has allowed a slugging percentage of just .253 (25 Total Bases / 99 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 31% (146/474) against Shane Bieber this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 92nd Percentile.
Shane Bieber has struck out 35% (109/312) of left-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Antonio Senzatela: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .471 (24-for-51) against Antonio Senzatela versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .230 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .383 (67-for-175) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 38% (30/79) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .516 (16-for-31) against Antonio Senzatela on inside fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .265 — 0 Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Guardians are 5-20 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Guardians are just 8-24 (.250) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Guardians are 19-1 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Guardians are 18-1 (.947) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rockies are 19-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Rockies are just 24-26 (.480) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Rockies are just 5-13 (.278) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
The Rockies are 22-7 (.759) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .633 (588 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Guardians hitters have just 54 strikeouts in 448 PA’s (12%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .332 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
28% of Guardians hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .637 (4,044 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Rockies hitters are slugging just .330 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .383.
The Rockies are batting .282 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Rockies are batting .279 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .191 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .222.
The Guardians have won just 0% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Guardians have won 50% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 453.2
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rockies pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 9% of innings played this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Back, D10
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Tyson Blach (Rockies): Wrist, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- James Karinchak (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Undisclosed, D60
- Franmil Reyes (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Left Glute, D15
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