- The Guardians (31-27) are -135 favorites vs the Rockies (27-36)
- Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie (3-5), 3.09 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Chad Kuhl (4-3), 3.70 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Cleveland Guardians (-135) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+115) on Thursday, June 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Guardians vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Guardians are 31-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 31-32 ATS.
Guardians vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +110 | O 11.5 -110 | -135 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -135 | U 11.5 -110 | +115 |
Guardians vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s matchup with 66.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Myles Straw has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 31 away games (+10.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+9.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 54 games (+9.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 away games (+7.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in his last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 74% ROI)
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Randal Grichuk has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.60 Units / 58% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 10 games at home (+4.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+4.55 Units / 32% ROI)
Rockies vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Rockies vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
Rockies vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -160 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -140 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
Rockies vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Kuhl | 2.5 -165 | 2.5 +115 |
| Triston McKenzie | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 39 games (+8.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 56 games (+5.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+5.50 Units / 27% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 52 games (+6.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 48 games (+6.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+2.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+1.20 Units / 17% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 31-27 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 4.01% ROI).
- 31-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 5.43% ROI
- 28-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -1.55% ROI
- 26-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -7.49% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 31-32 against the Run Line (-6.85 Units / -8.61% ROI).
- 27-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -5.75% ROI
- 32-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.2 Units / 1.74% ROI
- 28-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.5 Units / -10.76% ROI
Triston McKenzie: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .174 (39-for-224) against Triston McKenzie this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .067 (4-for-60) against Triston McKenzie when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .102 (12-for-118) against Triston McKenzie with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .165 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (50/170) against Triston McKenzie this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Chad Kuhl: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chad Kuhl has allowed a slugging percentage of .725 (29 Total Bases / 40 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .360 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .241 (26-for-108) against Chad Kuhl with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .165 — third Percentile.
7 of Chad Kuhl’s 40 breaking pitch strikeouts (17%) have been backdoor this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 85th Percentile.
Chad Kuhl has walked 25 of 250 batters (10%) this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Guardians are 22-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .926.
The Guardians are 20-1 (.952) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Guardians are 4-22 (.154) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Guardians are 22-3 (.880) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rockies are 19-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rockies are 5-27 (.156) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Rockies are 3-27 (.100) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Rockies are just 4-13 (.235) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
28% of Guardians hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Guardians hitters have just 271 strikeouts in 1,575 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .348 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .637 (4,044 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Rockies hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Rockies hitters are slugging just .330 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.
The Rockies are batting .303 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
The Guardians have won just 0% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 3 of 108 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Guardians have won 50% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 33 of 515 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 453.3
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rockies pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Back, D10
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Tyson Blach (Rockies): Wrist, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- James Karinchak (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Undisclosed, D60
- Franmil Reyes (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Left Glute, D15
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