Guardians vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 16

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 16, 2022, 11:05 AM
  • The Guardians (31-27) are -135 favorites vs the Rockies (27-36)
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie (3-5), 3.09 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Chad Kuhl (4-3), 3.70 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The Cleveland Guardians (-135) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+115) on Thursday, June 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Guardians vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Guardians are 31-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 31-32 ATS.

Guardians vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians-1.5 +110O 11.5 -110-135
Rockies +1.5 -135U 11.5 -110+115

Guardians vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s matchup with 66.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rockies vs Guardians and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Myles Straw has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 31 away games (+10.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+9.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 54 games (+9.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 away games (+7.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in his last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 74% ROI)

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Randal Grichuk has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.95 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.60 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 10 games at home (+4.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+4.55 Units / 32% ROI)

Rockies vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +290 0.5 -450
C.J. Cron 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Connor Joe 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Elias Diaz 0.5 +360 0.5 -650

Rockies vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
C.J. Cron 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Connor Joe 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Elias Diaz 0.5 -190 0.5 +130

Rockies vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +110 0.5 -160
C.J. Cron 0.5 +100 0.5 -140
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Connor Joe 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Elias Diaz 0.5 +150 0.5 -225

Rockies vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chad Kuhl 2.5 -165 2.5 +115
Triston McKenzie 4.5 -125 4.5 -110
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 39 games (+8.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 56 games (+5.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+5.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 52 games (+6.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 48 games (+6.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+2.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+1.20 Units / 17% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 31-27 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 4.01% ROI).

  • 31-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 5.43% ROI
  • 28-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -1.55% ROI
  • 26-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -7.49% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 31-32 against the Run Line (-6.85 Units / -8.61% ROI).

  • 27-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -5.75% ROI
  • 32-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.2 Units / 1.74% ROI
  • 28-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.5 Units / -10.76% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .174 (39-for-224) against Triston McKenzie this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .067 (4-for-60) against Triston McKenzie when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .102 (12-for-118) against Triston McKenzie with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .165 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (50/170) against Triston McKenzie this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.

Chad Kuhl: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chad Kuhl has allowed a slugging percentage of .725 (29 Total Bases / 40 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .360 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .241 (26-for-108) against Chad Kuhl with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .165 — third Percentile.

7 of Chad Kuhl’s 40 breaking pitch strikeouts (17%) have been backdoor this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 85th Percentile.

Chad Kuhl has walked 25 of 250 batters (10%) this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Guardians are 22-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .926.

The Guardians are 20-1 (.952) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

The Guardians are 4-22 (.154) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .074.

The Guardians are 22-3 (.880) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Rockies are 19-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Rockies are 5-27 (.156) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Rockies are 3-27 (.100) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .074.

The Rockies are just 4-13 (.235) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

28% of Guardians hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Guardians hitters have just 271 strikeouts in 1,575 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .348 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .637 (4,044 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Rockies hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Rockies hitters are slugging just .330 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.

The Rockies are batting .303 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Guardians have won just 0% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 3 of 108 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Guardians have won 50% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 33 of 515 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 453.3

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rockies pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Back, D10
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Tyson Blach (Rockies): Wrist, D15
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • James Karinchak (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Undisclosed, D60
  • Franmil Reyes (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
  • Aaron Civale (Guardians): Left Glute, D15

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rockies vs Guardians and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.