- The Guardians are -102 favorites vs the Royals
- Guardians vs Royals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Guardians / Royals TV Channel: FOX
The Cleveland Guardians (-102) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-118) on Saturday, July 26, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Guardians are 51-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 53-50 ATS.
Guardians vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: , ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: , ERA
Guardians vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +155 | O 9 -120 | -102 |
| Royals | +1.5 -190 | U 9 +100 | -118 |
Guardians vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Angel Martinez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+21.40 Units / 357% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 55% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+9.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- Gavin Williams has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.05 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jac Caglianone has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+16.65 Units / 67% ROI)
- John Rave has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+16.50 Units / 330% ROI)
- Jac Caglianone has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jac Caglianone has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jac Caglianone has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.75 Units / 42% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 away games (+13.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 28 away games (+12.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 57 of their last 99 games (+9.94 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.30 Units / 30% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 70 of their last 103 games (+34.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 49 games at home (+18.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 95 games (+18.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 79 games (+4.00 Units / 4% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 54-47 against the Run Line (+1.6 Units / 1.16% ROI).
- 51-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 0.3% ROI
- 45-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.05 Units / -10.86% ROI
- 53-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 3.22% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 53-50 against the Run Line (-9.05 Units / -6.22% ROI).
- 50-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -2.51% ROI
- 41-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.17 Units / -22.42% ROI
- 61-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.8 Units / 13.82% ROI
Royals vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Royals vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nolan Jones (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Royals vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Royals vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams (CLE) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Michael Wacha (KC) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -175 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .333 (8-for-24) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes in his last two starts — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .164 — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (32/181) against Tanner Bibee this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 29% (95/327) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .397 (23-for-58) against Tanner Bibee on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — 15th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 30% (201/668) against Kris Bubic this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 85th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .278 (15-for-54) against Kris Bubic on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — 84th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .268 (41-for-153) against Kris Bubic when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 12th Percentile.
Kris Bubic has a strike rate of 70% (337/481) in two strike counts this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 95th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Guardians are 125-2 (.984) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Guardians are just 6-105 (.054) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Guardians are 56-9 (.848) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .747.
The Guardians are 22-0 (.957) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .744.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are 27-14 (.659) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Guardians (Ranks 26th runs scored) today.
The Royals are just 2-42 (.045) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Royals are 16-2 (.889) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .180 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .554 (465 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Guardians are batting just .196 in righty-righty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Guardians are batting just .286 in hitter’s counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 26% against the Guardians pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Royals pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 70% of the time over the past seven days (5 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. over the past seven days (5 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 3.50 (915.0 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.09.
The Royals have won just 19% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Batters facing the Royals pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 64% of the time over the last 14 days — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 52%. over the last 14 days — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
More MLB Reading:
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