- The Royals are -135 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Royals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Guardians / Royals TV Channel: GDTV | FDKC
The Cleveland Guardians (+110) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-130) on Sunday, July 27, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Guardians are 52-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 54-51 ATS.
Guardians vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Joey Cantillo 2-0, 3.92 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Noah Cameron 4-4, 2.61 ERA
Guardians vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -105 | +110 |
| Royals | -1.5 +160 | U 8.5 -115 | -130 |
Guardians vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Angel Martinez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+19.40 Units / 242% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 56% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Nolan Jones has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.40 Units / 74% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jac Caglianone has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+16.90 Units / 68% ROI)
- Jac Caglianone has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- John Rave has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+14.50 Units / 207% ROI)
- Jac Caglianone has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jac Caglianone has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 40% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 33 away games (+13.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 58 of their last 101 games (+9.89 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.80 Units / 24% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 70 of their last 105 games (+32.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 97 games (+18.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 51 games at home (+16.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 81 games (+4.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 55-48 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 0.78% ROI).
- 52-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 0.37% ROI
- 46-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.05 Units / -10.66% ROI
- 54-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.55 Units / 3.07% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 54-51 against the Run Line (-8.75 Units / -5.93% ROI).
- 51-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -2.78% ROI
- 42-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.17 Units / -22.01% ROI
- 62-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.7 Units / 13.46% ROI
Royals vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Royals vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Angel Martínez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Royals vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Royals vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Cantillo (CLE) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
| Noah Cameron (KC) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -165 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joey Cantillo has allowed three-ball counts to 31% of right-handed batters he faced (42/134 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 19% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 15% (41/278) against Joey Cantillo in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 71% (34/48) against Joey Cantillo’s fastball this season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 19% (52/268) against Joey Cantillo this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
2-3-4 Hitters have hit just .113 against Noah Cameron this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.
Noah Cameron has allowed an OBP of just .198 (111 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .328 — 100th Percentile.
Noah Cameron has allowed an OBP of just .189 (106 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .324 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .238 (31-for-130) against Noah Cameron in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .328 — 99th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Guardians are 22-0 (.957) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .745.
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians are 126-2 (.984) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Guardians are 42-3 (.933) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .879.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are 28-15 (.651) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Guardians (Ranks 26th runs scored) today.
The Royals are 45-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .958.
The Royals are 18-2 (.900) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .550 (473 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Guardians are batting just .179 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Guardians are batting just .225 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .300 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .868 (712 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.067.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 26% against the Guardians pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 9% of batters this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Royals pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 63% of the time over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 52%. over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Royals have won just 18% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 3.50 (934.0 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.09.
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
More MLB Reading:
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