- The Guardians are -145 favorites vs the Royals
- Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Cleveland Guardians (-145) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+120) on Tuesday, June 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Guardians vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 37-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 29-49 ATS.
Guardians vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +110 | O 9 -105 | -145 |
| Royals | +1.5 -135 | U 9 -115 | +120 |
Guardians vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 66.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+12.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 50 games (+11.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 40 games (+11.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+11.20 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+12.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+11.65 Units / 52% ROI)
Royals vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 |
Royals vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Will Brennan | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +135 | 1.5 -185 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +130 | 1.5 -175 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Royals vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Royals vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Brady Singer | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 61 games (+16.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+9.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 74 games (+8.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 57 games (+7.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+2.90 Units / 48% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 37-40 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -3.26% ROI).
- 37-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.75 Units / -11.01% ROI
- 29-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.45 Units / -22.99% ROI
- 44-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.3 Units / 14.49% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 29-49 against the Run Line (-29.15 Units / -30.05% ROI).
- 22-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.6 Units / -32.58% ROI
- 35-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -11.97% ROI
- 41-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.05 Units / 2.38% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gavin Williams has walked 3 of 23 batters (13%) over the past seven days (1 games) — 6th highest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 6% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 25% (4/16) against Gavin Williams — tied for 8th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 41% — 11th Percentile.
Gavin Williams has a strike rate of just 61% (51/84) over the past seven days (1 games) — 5th lowest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 66% — eighth Percentile.
Gavin Williams had a strike rate of just 61% (51/84) — 15th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 66% — 13th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer allowed a batting average of .423 vs right-handed batters (second worst)– second Percentile and just .174 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (eighth best among qualified SPs)– 89th Percentile.
Brady Singer has an ERA of 6.34 (76.2 IP)this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.83 — fourth Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown inside pitches 55% of the time (416/760) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .405 (17-for-42) against Brady Singer on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .257 — fourth Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Guardians are 26-80 (.245) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .127.
The Guardians are 10-23 (.303) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Guardians are 4-31 (.114) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Guardians are 18-86 (.173) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Royals are just 7-65 (.097) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .356.
The Royals are just 7-13 (.350) after a loss as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
The Royals are just 10-28 (.263) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Royals are just 21-50 (.296) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,192 strikeouts in 6,651 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,674 strikeouts in 9,053 PA’s (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .657 (2,402 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 32% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 26% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 31% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 28% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 138 of 2,155 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 55 of 461 batters (12%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Guardians pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 10% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Royals have won just 13% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals pitchers have walked 186 of 2,099 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Royals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Amir Garrett (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Michael Massey (Royals): Hand, D10
- Matthew Beaty (Royals): Concussion Protocol, D7
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D15
- Peyton Battenfield (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cal Quantrill (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
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