• The Royals are -145 favorites vs the Guardians
• Guardians vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Guardians / Royals TV Channel: GDTV | RYTV

The Cleveland Guardians (+118) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-145) on May 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Guardians are 19-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 18-18 ATS.

Guardians vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi 1-4, 6.51 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 1-1, 2.70 ERA

Guardians vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 58.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Guardians vs Royals and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.50 Units / 44% ROI)
• Daniel Schneemann has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.35 Units / 38% ROI)
• Chase DeLauter has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+10.75 Units / 65% ROI)
• Bo Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 40% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+10.20 Units / 102% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Isaac Collins has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+19.00 Units / 475% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 28% ROI)
• Seth Lugo has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.45 Units / 34% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+8.30 Units / 51% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 50 away games (+13.65 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 away games (+9.85 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 away games (+9.10 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.05 Units / 47% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.45 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+6.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.15 Units / 37% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 19-19 against the Run Line (-0.75 Units / -1.55% ROI).

• 19-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 1.26% ROI
• 18-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -9.19% ROI
• 20-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.2 Units / 0.48% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 18-18 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -7.07% ROI).

• 17-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.95 Units / -13.39% ROI
• 15-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.05 Units / -22.18% ROI
• 22-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 14.16% ROI

Royals vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Guardians are 7-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .757.

The Guardians are just 5-13 (.278) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Guardians are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Guardians are just 2-4 (.333) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Royals (21st in runs scored).

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Royals are just 13-4 (.765) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .891.

The Royals are just 1-9 (.100) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Royals are 72-7 (.911) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .872.

The Royals are 42-11 (.792) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

8% of Guardians’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (115/1,413 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have a groundball batting average of just .186 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .229 this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are averaging 4.08 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB.

Royals Hitting Stats & Trends

33% of Royals hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .453 (738 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OPS of 1.317 (260 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Royals hitters are slugging just .333 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 2.75 (144.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Royals Pitching Stats & Trends

Royals pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Royals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have picked-off 7 runners from first base this season — tied for most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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