- The Guardians are -130 favorites vs the Tigers
- Guardians starting pitcher: Hunter Gaddis
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Cleveland Guardians (-130) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+110) on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at + (+).
The Guardians vs Tigers Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 9-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 6-8 ATS.
Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | + + | O + | -130 |
| Tigers | + + | U + | +110 |
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 65.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+14.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.55 Units / 64% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 58% ROI)
Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1300 | 0.5 |
Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -135 |
| Hunter Gaddis | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+4.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+3.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 away games (+0.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.00 Units / 27% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 7-9 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -11.22% ROI).
- 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.47% ROI
- 9-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 13.64% ROI
- 6-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -21.88% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 6-8 against the Run Line (-3.55 Units / -21.45% ROI).
- 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.65 Units / 23.62% ROI
- 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -31.17% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (9/68) against Hunter Gaddis on non-fastballs this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 31% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (4/44) against Hunter Gaddis on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (2/21) against Hunter Gaddis on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (6/49) against Hunter Gaddis on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has walked 7 of 29 right-handed batters (24%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has a strike rate of just 55% (59/107) against right-handed batters this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has not allowed a home run in any of the last 24.0 innings he’s appeared — Shohei Ohtani has the longest active streak at 68.0.
Matthew Boyd has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 46% (13/28) of opposing batters this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 20-60 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Guardians are 14-63 (.182) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Guardians are 21-40 (.344) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Guardians are 28-25 (.528) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are just 8-33 (.195) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Tigers are just 2-3 (.400) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Tigers are 15-1 (.938) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .807.
The Tigers are just 3-94 (.031) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 883 strikeouts in 5,070 PA’s (17%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,238 strikeouts in 6,809 PA’s (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 795 times in 4,584 PA’s (17%) against RHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .277 (4,742 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .608 (4,742 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .331 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .273 (536 PA’s) this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 9 of 148 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 97 of 1,608 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 44 of 623 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Tigers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Sam D. Hentges (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Oblique, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
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