- The – are favorites vs the –
- Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill
- Tigers starting pitcher: Spencer Turnbull
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Cleveland Guardians () visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers () on Wednesday, April 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Guardians vs Tigers Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 9-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 8-8 ATS.
Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | O | ||
| Tigers | U |
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 60.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+12.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.45 Units / 75% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.30 Units / 69% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+8.05 Units / 62% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+6.95 Units / 74% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 60% ROI)
Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Tigers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Turnbull | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Cal Quantrill | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+0.85 Units / 5% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+6.80 Units / 136% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in their last 6 games (+6.25 Units / 83% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.60 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.65 Units / 18% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 7-11 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -19.27% ROI).
- 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -11.27% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 1.01% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -9.34% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 8-8 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / -7.95% ROI).
- 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 13.75% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 8.22% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.8 Units / -15.91% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (125/842) against Cal Quantrill since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 8 of Cal Quantrill’s 63 off-speed pitches out of the zone (13%) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.
17 of Cal Quantrill’s 62 breaking pitch strikeouts (27%) have been backdoor since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 96th Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has located his pitches away 58% of the time (908/1,552) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Turnbull has allowed an OBP of .583 (24 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .345 — second Percentile.
Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting .405 (15-for-37) against Spencer Turnbull this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .248 — third Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .500 against Spencer Turnbull this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .269 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (1/15) against Spencer Turnbull on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 20-61 (.247) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Guardians are 14-64 (.179) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Guardians are 20-3 (.870) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Guardians are 21-40 (.344) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .197.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are just 9-74 (.108) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Tigers are just 9-39 (.188) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Tigers are 15-1 (.938) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Tigers are 4-3 (.571) at home this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters are slugging just .346 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Guardians hitters have just 887 strikeouts in 5,087 PA’s (17%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,256 strikeouts in 6,875 PA’s (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .278 (4,813 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .610 (4,813 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .262 (332 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .332 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Guardians pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 10 of 165 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 98 of 1,625 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 483 of 6,683 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Sam D. Hentges (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Oblique, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
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