- The Guardians (57-52) are -175 favorites vs the Tigers (43-68)
- Guardians starting pitcher: Aaron Civale (2-5), 6.16 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Andrew Hutchison (1-5), 4.36 ERA
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Cleveland Guardians (-175) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+145) on Wednesday, August 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Guardians vs Tigers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Guardians are 57-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 49-62 ATS.
Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 -105 | O 8 +100 | -175 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -115 | U 8 -120 | +145 |
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 73.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+11.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+10.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+9.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+8.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.70 Units / 96% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+10.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+7.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Akil Baddoo | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Akil Baddoo | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Harold Castro | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Tigers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Akil Baddoo | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Hutchison | 2.5 -160 | 2.5 +110 |
| Aaron Civale | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -140 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 90 games (+12.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 69 games (+10.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 90 games (+7.10 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+6.50 Units / 78% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+20.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 79 games (+1.80 Units / 2% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 58-51 against the Run Line (+1.95 Units / 1.41% ROI).
- 57-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.7 Units / 5.84% ROI
- 52-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -1.58% ROI
- 49-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units / -6.75% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 49-62 against the Run Line (-21.65 Units / -15.54% ROI).
- 43-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.45 Units / -9.73% ROI
- 39-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.55 Units / -23.36% ROI
- 62-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.6 Units / 15.98% ROI
Aaron Civale: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Civale has a strike rate of just 56% (617/1,110) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 62% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (39/118) against Aaron Civale on inside fastballs since the start of 2020 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Aaron Civale has a strike rate of just 60% (540/894) in two strike counts since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (36/111) against Aaron Civale with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Andrew Hutchison: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Hutchison has walked 7 of 37 batters (19%) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Drew Hutchison has a strikeout rate of just 15% (35 SO in 240 PAs) this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
The average home run distance against Drew Hutchison this season is 379.2 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 398.1
Drew Hutchison had a strike rate of just 57% (50/88) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 9-45 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Guardians are 16-2 (.889) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Guardians are 39-3 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Guardians are 39-1 (.975) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are just 4-50 (.074) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Tigers are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Tigers are just 5-32 (.135) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Tigers are 21-4 (.840) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .621 (1,089 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .328 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Guardians hitters have just 537 strikeouts in 3,026 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .577 (1,975 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .313 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (7,181 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .585 (2,950 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 2 of 117 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Guardians have won just 17% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .225.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 88 of 971 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 11 of 72 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (8 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D15
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
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