Guardians vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 11

Detroit Tigers' Parker Meadows reacts after hitting a double against the Oakland Athletics during the third inning of a baseball game Sunday, Sept. 24, 2023, in Oakland, Calif.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
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  • The Tigers are -125 favorites vs the Guardians
  • Guardians vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Guardians / Tigers TV Channel: GDTV | DSN

The Cleveland Guardians (+105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-125) on August 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Guardians are 58-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 55-58 ATS.

Guardians vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Guardians starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi 4-7, 5.12 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 7-6, 2.92 ERA

Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians+1.5 -200O 8 -105+105
Tigers -1.5 +165U 8 -115-125

Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Patrick Bailey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+17.00 Units / 170% ROI)
  • Brayan Rocchio has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Brayan Rocchio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+12.85 Units / 143% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+11.10 Units / 111% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+7.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 away games (+3.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+15.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+7.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+6.65 Units / 16% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 56-62 against the Run Line (-9.4 Units / -6.15% ROI).

  • 58-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -5.76% ROI
  • 57-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.7 Units / -8.23% ROI
  • 62-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -1.06% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 55-58 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -3.34% ROI).

  • 58-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.3 Units / -8.29% ROI
  • 51-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.9 Units / -12.21% ROI
  • 61-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 4.17% ROI

Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Dillon Dingler +350
Riley Greene +380
Spencer Torkelson +390
Jo Adell +425
Jose Ramirez +500

Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Steven Kwan 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Chase DeLauter 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Kevin McGonigle 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Riley Greene 0.5 -220 0.5 +160

Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Riley Greene 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Jo Adell 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Nathaniel Lowe 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Max Clark 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Travis Bazzana 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Guardians were 82-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Guardians were 34-12 (.723) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

The Guardians were just 73-5 (.936) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Tigers were 74-19 (.796) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Tigers were just 3-56 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Guardians are batting just .218 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .369 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .224 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .342 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have been successful in just 50% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 13% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Tigers pitchers this season traveled 422.0 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.49 (1045.2 IP) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.