Guardians vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 11

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 11, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The (77-33) are favorites vs the (77-33)
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Zach Plesac (2-10), 4.48 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Garrett Hill (2-3), 5.11 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Cleveland Guardians () visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers () on Thursday, August 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Guardians vs Tigers Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Guardians are 58-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 50-62 ATS.

Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians O
Tigers U

Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Tigers vs Guardians and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+13.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 29 games (+10.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 43 away games (+9.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 27 away games (+9.20 Units / 22% ROI)

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+10.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Harold Castro has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+8.35 Units / 24% ROI)

Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Harold Castro 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Javier Baez 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Carpenter 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Riley Greene 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Harold Castro 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
Javier Baez 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Carpenter 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Riley Greene 1.5 +195 1.5 -275

Tigers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Harold Castro 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Javier Baez 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Carpenter 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Riley Greene 0.5 +165 0.5 -250

Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Garrett Hill 2.5 -160 2.5 +110
Zach Plesac 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 91 games (+13.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 70 games (+11.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 57 away games (+7.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 away games (+7.50 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 91 games (+6.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 62 of their last 109 games (+21.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 39 games at home (+5.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+2.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 12 games (+2.00 Units / 16% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 58-52 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 0.65% ROI).

  • 58-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.7 Units / 6.52% ROI
  • 52-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -2.51% ROI
  • 50-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -5.86% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 50-62 against the Run Line (-20.65 Units / -14.7% ROI).

  • 43-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.45 Units / -10.49% ROI
  • 39-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.7 Units / -24.08% ROI
  • 63-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.6 Units / 16.65% ROI

Opponents are hitting .373 (28-for-75) against Zach Plesac with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 0 Percentile.

Zach Plesac has located his pitches away 67% of the time (611/914) against right-handed batters this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 97th Percentile.

Zach Plesac has allowed a slugging percentage of .539 (76 Total Bases / 141 ABs) on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .380 — second Percentile.

Zach Plesac has a strikeout rate of just 9% (7 SO in 81 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Garrett Hill: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Garrett Hill had a strike rate of just 58% (54/93) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (15/39) against Garrett Hill this month (1 games) — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 53% (19/36) against Garrett Hill — 10th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — sixth Percentile.

Garrett Hill has struck out 33% (5/15) of left-handed batters he faced this month (1 games) — tied for 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 90th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Guardians are 35-5 (.875) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Guardians are 39-2 (.951) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Guardians are 9-45 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Guardians are 40-1 (.976) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Tigers are just 4-50 (.074) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Tigers are just 18-37 (.327) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Tigers are 5-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Tigers are just 43-61 (.413) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .326 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Guardians hitters have just 769 strikeouts in 4,150 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters have just 543 strikeouts in 3,055 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (7,214 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .271 (2,983 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .313 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .584 (2,983 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

Guardians pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Guardians have won just 17% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have won only 4% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D15
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.