Guardians vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 13

(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
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  • The Guardians are -130 favorites vs the Tigers
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The Cleveland Guardians (-130) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+105) on August 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Guardians are 59-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 56-59 ATS.

Guardians vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Guardians starting pitcher: Parker Messick 9-6, 2.59 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 8-7, 3.40 ERA

Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians-1.5 +135O 8 -105-130
Tigers +1.5 -165U 8 -115+105

Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 25 games (+19.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Brayan Rocchio has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Brayan Rocchio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.55 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Jo Adell has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+11.90 Units / 198% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+15.90 Units / 177% ROI)
  • Hao-Yu Lee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.05 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Hao-Yu Lee has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Hao-Yu Lee has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+6.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+5.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 away games (+3.60 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 away games (+3.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+16.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 45 games (+8.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+6.85 Units / 14% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 57-63 against the Run Line (-10.15 Units / -6.49% ROI).

  • 59-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -5.61% ROI
  • 59-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -6.58% ROI
  • 62-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -2.68% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 56-59 against the Run Line (-4.5 Units / -2.97% ROI).

  • 59-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.6 Units / -8.34% ROI
  • 53-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.9 Units / -10.49% ROI
  • 61-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.2 Units / 2.43% ROI

Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Spencer Torkelson +390
Dillon Dingler +400
Jo Adell +400
Chase DeLauter +450
Jose Ramirez +475

Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Steven Kwan 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Chase DeLauter 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Kevin McGonigle 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Jose Ramirez 0.5 -220 0.5 +160

Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Ben Malgeri 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Hao-Yu Lee 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Max Clark 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Guardians were 82-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Guardians were 77-2 (.975) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Guardians were 33-4 (.868) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .743.

The Guardians were just 3-61 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Tigers were 6-59 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Tigers were 47-9 (.839) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .743.

The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .346 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .220 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .370 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .218 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have been successful in just 50% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 27% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 21% of pitches out of the zone in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% in late innings this season — best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Tigers pitchers this season traveled 422.0 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.51 (1063.2 IP) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .288 (1,067 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.