Guardians vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 9

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 09, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Guardians (56-52) are -190 favorites vs the Tigers (43-67)
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Shane Bieber (6-6), 3.39 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander (2-5), 4.03 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSDET

The Cleveland Guardians (-190) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+155) on Tuesday, August 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Detroit.

The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Guardians vs Tigers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Guardians are 56-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 49-61 ATS.

Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians-1.5 -110O 7.5 -120-190
Tigers +1.5 -110U 7.5 +100+155

Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Tigers vs Guardians and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+11.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Myles Straw has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 28 games (+10.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+8.30 Units / 14% ROI)

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Eric Haase has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+6.90 Units / 24% ROI)

Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Akil Baddoo 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Harold Castro 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Javier Baez 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Jeimer Candelario 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000

Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Akil Baddoo 0.5 -125 0.5 -110
Javier Baez 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Jeimer Candelario 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Riley Greene 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Tigers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Akil Baddoo 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Harold Castro 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Javier Baez 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Jeimer Candelario 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Alexander 2.5 -115 2.5 -115
Shane Bieber 6.5 -140 6.5 +100
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 89 games (+11.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 68 games (+9.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 55 away games (+7.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 89 games (+6.10 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 107 games (+20.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 37 games at home (+7.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+4.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 57-51 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 0.69% ROI).

  • 56-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.7 Units / 5.16% ROI
  • 52-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -1.59% ROI
  • 49-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units / -6.82% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 49-61 against the Run Line (-20.6 Units / -14.9% ROI).

  • 43-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.45 Units / -8.96% ROI
  • 39-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.55 Units / -23.56% ROI
  • 62-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.6 Units / 16.14% ROI

Opponents are hitting .306 (19-for-62) against Shane Bieber’s elevated fastball this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .220 — 10th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (43/126) against Shane Bieber on fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (32/89) against Shane Bieber on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Shane Bieber has allowed a slugging percentage of just .171 (30 Total Bases / 175 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 92nd Percentile.

Tyler Alexander: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .373 (38-for-102) against Tyler Alexander on inside fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (163/851) against Tyler Alexander since the start of last season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.

66% of Tyler Alexander’s called strikeouts are outside since the start of last season — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (228/1,151) against Tyler Alexander since the start of last season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Guardians are 9-45 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Guardians are 34-5 (.872) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Guardians are 29-22 (.569) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Guardians are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Tigers are just 4-49 (.075) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

The Tigers are just 18-37 (.327) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Tigers are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.

The Tigers are 5-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .620 (1,063 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Guardians hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Guardians hitters have just 537 strikeouts in 3,015 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .587 (2,914 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (7,145 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .464 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .561.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .315 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .197 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .225.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Guardians pitchers have allowed the 3rd hardest ball in play hit (114.4 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 116.7).

Tigers pitchers have walked 10 of 53 batters (19%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 88 of 962 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Tigers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D15
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D15
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Aaron Civale (Guardians): Wrist, D15
  • Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Tigers vs Guardians and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.