Guardians vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 06, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The (51-29) are favorites vs the (51-29)
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Shane Bieber (3-4), 3.16 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Michael Pineda (1-3), 3.62 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Cleveland Guardians () visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers () on Wednesday, July 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Guardians vs Tigers Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Guardians are 40-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 38-42 ATS.

Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians O
Tigers U

Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 53.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Tigers vs Guardians and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Amed Rosario has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 49% ROI)

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+4.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Victor Reyes has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+1.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)

Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Javier Baez 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Miguel Cabrera 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Riley Greene 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Robbie Grossman 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Javier Baez 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Miguel Cabrera 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Riley Greene 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Robbie Grossman 0.5 -150 0.5 +105

Tigers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Javier Baez 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Miguel Cabrera 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Riley Greene 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
Robbie Grossman 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Pineda 2.5 -160 2.5 +115
Shane Bieber 6.5 -140 6.5 -105
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 28 of their last 48 games (+9.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 60 games (+6.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 48 games (+6.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 19 away games (+3.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 39 games (+2.40 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 77 games (+20.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+7.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 48 games (+2.45 Units / 4% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 40-39 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -2.03% ROI).

  • 40-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 1.96% ROI
  • 36-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.05 Units / -5.78% ROI
  • 37-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -2.83% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 38-42 against the Run Line (-7.9 Units / -7.95% ROI).

  • 33-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -8.48% ROI
  • 27-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.45 Units / -28.87% ROI
  • 48-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.85 Units / 21.35% ROI

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 30% (73/242) against Shane Bieber this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 85th Percentile.

Shane Bieber has located his pitches away 66% of the time (243/370) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (48/153) against Shane Bieber this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.

Shane Bieber has a strikeout rate of 47% (58 SO in 124 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 91st Percentile.

Michael Pineda: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael Pineda has walked 25 of 567 batters (4%) since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.

Michael Pineda has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.6 MPH on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season (346 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 90.8

Michael Pineda has located his breaking pitches down 85% of the time (497/582) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 99th Percentile.

Michael Pineda has an average spin rate of 1960.2 RPM on sliders since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 2400.2 — first Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Guardians are 24-3 (.889) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

The Guardians are 8-34 (.190) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .080.

The Guardians are 7-31 (.184) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Guardians are 8-5 (.615) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Tigers are just 2-34 (.056) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

The Tigers are just 3-18 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.

The Tigers are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

The Tigers are just 12-23 (.343) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Guardians hitters have just 363 strikeouts in 2,087 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .322 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .612 (880 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Tigers hitters have 397 strikeouts in 1,361 PA’s (29%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .277 (2,099 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .339 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .590 (1,252 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Guardians have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Guardians pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.4 MPH (1,925 batted balls) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

The Guardians pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.3 MPH since the start of last season (5,864 balls in play) — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Tigers pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 63 of 703 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Hip, Day-to-Day
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Right Shoulder, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua-Douglas Naylor (Guardians): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Austin Hedges (Guardians): Concussion, D7
  • Oscar Gonzalez (Guardians): Ribs, D10
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Elbow, D60
  • Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.