- The Twins are -165 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians starting pitcher: Xzavion Curry
- Twins starting pitcher: Kenta Maeda
- Watch the game on BSN
The Cleveland Guardians (+140) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-165) on Monday, August 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Guardians vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 62-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 63-68 ATS.
Guardians vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 +100 | +140 |
| Twins | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 -120 | -165 |
Guardians vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 64.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs Twins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+8.05 Units / 73% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+7.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+7.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 19 away games (+6.90 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+16.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+11.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Edouard Julien has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+9.00 Units / 24% ROI)
Twins vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Twins vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Royce Lewis | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
Twins vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Twins vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kenta Maeda | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
| Xzavion Curry | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 89 games (+11.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 23 away games (+3.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 19 away games (+2.65 Units / 12% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+7.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+6.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 41% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 66-65 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -0.52% ROI).
- 62-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.2 Units / -11.09% ROI
- 52-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -30 Units / -20.88% ROI
- 74-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.35 Units / 12.16% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 63-68 against the Run Line (-6.2 Units / -3.87% ROI).
- 68-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.65 Units / -6.91% ROI
- 64-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -2.49% ROI
- 61-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.3 Units / -5.85% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (32/142) against Xzavion Curry this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (32/142) against Xzavion Curry this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (36/156) against Xzavion Curry since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Xzavion Curry has a strikeout rate of just 36% (53 SO in 149 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 46% — third Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kenta Maeda has allowed at least one HR in each of his last seven games dating back to July 19th — the longest active streak is 8.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (19/78) against Kenta Maeda on sliders this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 41% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .364 (24 GB hits out of 66 GBs) against Kenta Maeda this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (21/83) against Kenta Maeda’s curve and slider this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
keys to the game – away
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
keys to the game – home
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – home
Twins vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Matthew Canterino (Twins): Undisclosed, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Willi Castro (Twins): Oblique, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Oliver Ortega (Twins): Back, D15
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Michael Kelly (Guardians): Back, D15
- Shane Bieber (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Cal Quantrill (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- David Fry (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
- Joshua-Douglas Naylor (Guardians): Side, D10
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