• The Guardians are -102 favorites vs the Twins
• Guardians vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Guardians / Twins TV Channel: GDTV | TWTV

The Cleveland Guardians (-102) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-118) on July 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Guardians are against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are ATS.

Guardians vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Joey Cantillo 7-3, 3.89 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 7-3, 3.86 ERA

Guardians vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Guardians vs Twins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Chase DeLauter has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 25% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
• Travis Bazzana has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+9.30 Units / 133% ROI)
• Chase DeLauter has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 50% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+8.60 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Victor Caratini has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+19.00 Units / 211% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+15.85 Units / 58% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Walks Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+15.50 Units / 29% ROI)
• Royce Lewis has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.95 Units / 30% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.35 Units / 43% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 away games (+10.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.80 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 away games (+9.05 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 away games (+7.05 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.05 Units / 36% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.90 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.90 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 games at home (+7.70 Units / 14% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Twins vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Guardians are 15-3 (.833) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Guardians are 25-18 (.581) after a loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Guardians are 99-8 (.925) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .870.

The Guardians are 33-3 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Twins are just 0-40 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Twins are just 0-37 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 8-27 (.229) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

The Guardians are batting just .218 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .509 (234 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .197 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .346 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins are batting just .272 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have 52 extra-base hits out of 105 total hits (49%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .351 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging .443 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% in late innings this season — tied for best in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Twins pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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