• The Guardians are -135 favorites vs the Twins
• Guardians vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Guardians / Twins TV Channel: GDTV | TWTV

The Cleveland Guardians (-135) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+110) on July 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Guardians are 47-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 51-42 ATS.

Guardians vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 9-4, 3.90 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 6-3, 4.59 ERA

Guardians vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Guardians vs Twins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Brayan Rocchio has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+15.00 Units / 300% ROI)
• Chase DeLauter has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.45 Units / 39% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.35 Units / 24% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• Daniel Schneemann has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+16.10 Units / 72% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.70 Units / 52% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+14.00 Units / 233% ROI)
• Kody Clemens has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.70 Units / 28% ROI)
• Kody Clemens has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.20 Units / 53% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 away games (+8.30 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.35 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.25 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 away games (+5.95 Units / 23% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+9.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.05 Units / 17% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 43-49 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -7.42% ROI).

• 47-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -0.64% ROI
• 45-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -7.19% ROI
• 48-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -1.89% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 51-42 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -1.85% ROI).

• 46-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 1.38% ROI
• 54-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.5 Units / 17.07% ROI
• 33-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -26.45 Units / -25.89% ROI

Twins vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Guardians are just 11-21 (.344) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Twins (sixth in runs scored).

The Guardians are just 12-17 (.414) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Twins (26th runs allowed).

The Guardians are 99-8 (.925) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .871.

The Guardians are 33-3 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Twins are just 0-37 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Twins are just 0-40 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Twins are just 9-27 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 9-96 (.086) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .129.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

The Guardians are batting just .216 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .367 this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have an OBP of just .270 (399 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .350 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins are batting just .280 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .353 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have a 51% QAB rate with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Twins hitters have 54 extra-base hits out of 111 total hits (49%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have an ERA of 5.11 (394.2 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 1.78 runs per game (166/93) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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