Guardians vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 9

Chicago White Sox first base Miguel Vargas (20) during their spring training baseball game against the Los Angeles Dodgers, Saturday, March 8, 2025, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Darryl Webb)
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  • The Guardians are -115 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Guardians vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Guardians / White Sox TV Channel: GDTV | CHSN

The Cleveland Guardians (-115) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-105) on August 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Guardians are 58-60 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 66-47 ATS.

Guardians vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Guardians starting pitcher: Joey Cantillo 8-7, 3.88 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin 9-6, 4.15 ERA

Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians-1.5 +145O 8.5 -115-115
White Sox +1.5 -180U 8.5 -105-105

Guardians vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Patrick Bailey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+18.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Brayan Rocchio has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Brayan Rocchio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Drew Romo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+17.05 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+17.00 Units / 243% ROI)
  • Munetaka Murakami has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+15.50 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Drew Romo has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+7.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+4.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 away games (+4.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+18.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+13.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+7.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 56-61 against the Run Line (-8.4 Units / -5.53% ROI).

  • 58-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -4.86% ROI
  • 57-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.6 Units / -7.45% ROI
  • 61-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -1.83% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 66-47 against the Run Line (+5.25 Units / 3.16% ROI).

  • 60-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.45 Units / 9.23% ROI
  • 66-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.5 Units / 10.63% ROI
  • 48-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.95 Units / -19.46% ROI

White Sox vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Munetaka Murakami +310
Colson Montgomery +325
Miguel Vargas +390
Jo Adell +390
Randal Grichuk +425

White Sox vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Ramirez 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Chase DeLauter 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Chase Meidroth 0.5 -210 0.5 +150
Jo Adell 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Nathaniel Lowe 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

White Sox vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Braden Montgomery 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Jo Adell 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Chase Meidroth 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Randal Grichuk 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Nathaniel Lowe 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Guardians were just 3-61 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Guardians were 33-12 (.733) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Guardians were 66-5 (.930) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .875.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The White Sox were just 41-121 (.253) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox were just 35-12 (.745) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The White Sox were just 4-40 (.091) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.

The White Sox were just 0-79 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Guardians are batting just .215 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .226 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .370 this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .657 (2,205 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

White Sox hitters have 57 extra-base hits out of 118 total hits (48%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

White Sox hitters have grounded into 52 double plays in 821 opportunities (6%) this season — best in MLB.

30% of White Sox hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

White Sox hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% in late innings this season — tied for best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The White Sox have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The White Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.38 (528.0 IP) at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

The White Sox have allowed 1.12 runs per game (130/116) in late innings this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.