- The Guardians are -140 favorites vs the White Sox
- Guardians vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Guardians / White Sox TV Channel: GDTV | CHSN
The Cleveland Guardians (-135) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+115) on Sunday, July 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL, IL.
This season, the Guardians are 45-49 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 52-44 ATS.
Guardians vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Joey Cantillo 1-0, 3.79 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 1-6, 5.14 ERA
Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -105 | -135 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -155 | U 8.5 -115 | +115 |
Guardians vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Angel Martinez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+26.40 Units / 264% ROI)
- Kyle Manzardo has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kyle Manzardo has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Angel Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+9.10 Units / 77% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Miguel Vargas has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+12.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Chase Meidroth has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+8.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.10 Units / 34% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 57 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 27 away games (+13.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 54 of their last 91 games (+12.89 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+5.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 39 away games (+5.35 Units / 13% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+14.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 62 games (+9.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 72 games (+9.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 49 of their last 87 games (+7.19 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games at home (+6.19 Units / 15% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 50-43 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.12% ROI).
- 45-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -2.89% ROI
- 39-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.85 Units / -15.52% ROI
- 51-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.25 Units / 7.88% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 52-44 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 0.77% ROI).
- 32-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.76 Units / -17.37% ROI
- 40-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.55 Units / -14.63% ROI
- 50-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.85 Units / 5.57% ROI
White Sox vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Daniel Schneemann (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
White Sox vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chase Meidroth (CWS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Austin Slater (CWS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Nolan Jones (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
White Sox vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
White Sox vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Cantillo (CLE) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -118 |
| Aaron Civale (CWS) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -175 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
67% of Joey Cantillo’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — tied for 13th highest among among 204 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 50% — 94th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (43/215) against Joey Cantillo this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Joey Cantillo has allowed three-ball counts to 34% of right-handed batters he faced (36/106 PA’s) this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 19% — 0 Percentile.
Joey Cantillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .636 (35 Total Bases / 55 ABs) on fastballs this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — 0 Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Civale had a strike rate of just 57% when ahead in the count (fifth lowest)– eighth Percentile and 73% when behind in the count last season (fifth highest among qualified SPs)– 92nd Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 36% (174/482) against Aaron Civale in the 2024 season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 10th Percentile.
Aaron Civale allowed a slugging percentage of just .271 (19 Total Bases / 70 ABs) on fastballs away in the 2024 season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — 85th Percentile.
Aaron Civale had a strike rate of just 61% (507/828) in two strike counts in the 2024 season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 10th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians are 108-5 (.956) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .863.
The Guardians were just 3-61 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians are 52-28 (.650) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the White Sox (Ranks 28th runs scored) today.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox are just 48-136 (.261) after a loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 59-31 (.656) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .863.
The White Sox are just 9-71 (.112) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .615 (1,095 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .693.
The Guardians are batting just .296 in hitter’s counts since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .598 (1,437 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .696.
The Guardians are batting just .199 in righty-righty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .625 (7,004 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .625 (9,374 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 23% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
White Sox hitters are slugging just .340 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Guardians pitchers have walked 12% of batters over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 26% against the Guardians pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have won just 5% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox won just 4% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The White Sox have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
More MLB Reading:
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