- The – (62-30) are favorites vs the – (62-30)
- Guardians starting pitcher: Konnor Pilkington (1-2), 4.24 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn (1-3), 7.50 ERA
- Watch the game on FOX
The Cleveland Guardians () visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox () on Saturday, July 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Chicago.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Guardians vs White Sox Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Guardians are 47-44 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 43-50 ATS.
Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | O | ||
| White Sox | U |
Guardians vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Saturday‘s matchup with 73.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+14.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 44 away games (+9.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 45 away games (+9.30 Units / 10% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 41 of his last 52 games (+23.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 50 games (+22.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 45 games at home (+18.20 Units / 21% ROI)
White Sox vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Engel | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
White Sox vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Engel | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -105 |
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
White Sox vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Engel | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
White Sox vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cueto | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
| Triston McKenzie | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 72 games (+8.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+7.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 60 games (+6.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 51 games (+6.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 60 games (+5.95 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games at home (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 48 games (+5.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.95 Units / 7% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 48-43 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 2.02% ROI).
- 47-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 3.63% ROI
- 42-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -5.43% ROI
- 43-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -3.19% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 43-50 against the Run Line (-8.75 Units / -7.71% ROI).
- 46-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.05 Units / -8.38% ROI
- 44-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -3.11% ROI
- 44-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.15 Units / -4.01% ROI
Konnor Pilkington: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (56/171) against Triston McKenzie this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has allowed a slugging percentage of just .132 (9 Total Bases / 68 ABs) this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .373 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (49/174) against Triston McKenzie in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .149 (7-for-47) against Triston McKenzie on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .262 — 98th Percentile.
Michael Lynn: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has an ERA of 14.00 (9.0 IP) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.41 — first Percentile.
Lance Lynn has an ERA of 8.55 (20.0 IP)this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.39 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (45/260) against Lance Lynn since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed an OPS of 1.030 (47 PA’s) — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .657 — third Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians are 29-3 (.906) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Guardians are 31-1 (.969) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Guardians are 8-38 (.174) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Guardians are 8-35 (.186) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox are 7-2 (.778) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 19-26 (.422) at home this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The White Sox are 27-21 (.562) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The White Sox are just 10-24 (.294) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians hitters have not struck out in 6 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (1 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .324 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Guardians hitters have just 444 strikeouts in 2,518 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox are batting .272 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The White Sox are batting .285 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
White Sox hitters have 91 extra-base hits out of 356 total hits (just 26%) versus relief pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The White Sox are batting just .159 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .191 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .222.
Guardians pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% against Guardians pitchers over the past seven days (2 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 334 of 3,572 batters (9%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 2 of 96 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Finger, D15
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
- Jacob Burger (White Sox): Hand, D10
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Luis Robert (White Sox): Illness, D10
- Oscar Gonzalez (Guardians): Ribs, D10
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Wrist, D15
- Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D15
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