- The White Sox (47-48) are -155 favorites vs the Guardians (48-45)
- Guardians starting pitcher: Shane Bieber (4-5), 3.23 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease (9-4), 2.15 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Cleveland Guardians (+125) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-155) on Sunday, July 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Guardians vs White Sox Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Guardians are 48-45 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 43-52 ATS.
Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -160 | O 7.5 -120 | +125 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 +100 | -155 |
Guardians vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Sunday‘s matchup with 60.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 33 away games (+8.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 47 away games (+8.15 Units / 9% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 37 of his last 52 games (+22.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 42 of his last 54 games (+21.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 47 games at home (+20.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+15.20 Units / 89% ROI)
White Sox vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
White Sox vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
White Sox vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | 7.5 +110 | 7.5 -155 |
| Shane Bieber | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -140 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 74 games (+9.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 74 games (+9.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 62 games (+6.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 53 games (+5.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 62 games (+4.90 Units / 7% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 49 of their last 95 games (+6.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 50 games (+6.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+1.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 50-43 against the Run Line (+4.3 Units / 3.69% ROI).
- 48-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 4.01% ROI
- 43-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -4.33% ROI
- 43-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -4.16% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 43-52 against the Run Line (-10.75 Units / -9.3% ROI).
- 47-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -8.68% ROI
- 45-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.15 Units / -2.07% ROI
- 44-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -4.93% ROI
Shane Bieber: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Bieber has located his pitches away 63% of the time (269/427) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Shane Bieber allowed an OPS of just .237 (30 PA’s) — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .665 — 100th Percentile.
Shane Bieber has a strikeout rate of just 13% (9 SO in 68 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 13th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% (225/753) against Shane Bieber this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 87th Percentile.
Dylan Cease: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 40% (178/446) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (321/874) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .159 (32-for-201) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 48 of 436 batters (11%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians are 8-36 (.182) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Guardians are 30-3 (.909) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Guardians are 31-2 (.939) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Guardians are 8-38 (.174) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox are just 5-37 (.119) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The White Sox are 7-2 (.778) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 20-27 (.426) at home this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The White Sox are just 4-26 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 646 strikeouts in 3,507 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians hitters have not struck out in 6 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .615 (912 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .439 (253 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
The White Sox are batting .396 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .338.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of .787 (727 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The White Sox are batting .369 in hitter’s counts since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .191 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .222.
Guardians pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .191 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .224.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.47 (415.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 337 of 3,649 batters (9%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Joshua Harrison (White Sox): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Finger, D15
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
- Jacob Burger (White Sox): Hand, D10
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Luis Robert (White Sox): Illness, D10
- Oscar Gonzalez (Guardians): Ribs, D10
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Wrist, D15
- Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D15
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