Guardians vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 24

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 24, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The White Sox (47-48) are -155 favorites vs the Guardians (48-45)
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Shane Bieber (4-5), 3.23 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease (9-4), 2.15 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI

The Cleveland Guardians (+125) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-155) on Sunday, July 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Guardians vs White Sox Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Guardians are 48-45 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 43-52 ATS.

Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians+1.5 -160O 7.5 -120+125
White Sox -1.5 +135U 7.5 +100-155

Guardians vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Sunday‘s matchup with 60.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on White Sox vs Guardians and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Amed Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 33 away games (+8.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 47 away games (+8.15 Units / 9% ROI)

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 37 of his last 52 games (+22.20 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 42 of his last 54 games (+21.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 47 games at home (+20.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+15.20 Units / 89% ROI)

White Sox vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Jose Abreu 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Tim Anderson 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

White Sox vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Gavin Sheets 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Jose Abreu 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Tim Anderson 1.5 +165 1.5 -250

White Sox vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Jose Abreu 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Tim Anderson 0.5 +190 0.5 -275

White Sox vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dylan Cease 7.5 +110 7.5 -155
Shane Bieber 6.5 +100 6.5 -140
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 74 games (+9.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 74 games (+9.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 62 games (+6.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 53 games (+5.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 62 games (+4.90 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 49 of their last 95 games (+6.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 50 games (+6.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+1.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 50-43 against the Run Line (+4.3 Units / 3.69% ROI).

  • 48-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 4.01% ROI
  • 43-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -4.33% ROI
  • 43-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -4.16% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 43-52 against the Run Line (-10.75 Units / -9.3% ROI).

  • 47-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -8.68% ROI
  • 45-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.15 Units / -2.07% ROI
  • 44-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -4.93% ROI

Shane Bieber has located his pitches away 63% of the time (269/427) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Shane Bieber allowed an OPS of just .237 (30 PA’s) — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .665 — 100th Percentile.

Shane Bieber has a strikeout rate of just 13% (9 SO in 68 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 13th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 30% (225/753) against Shane Bieber this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 87th Percentile.

Dylan Cease: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 40% (178/446) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (321/874) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .159 (32-for-201) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has walked 48 of 436 batters (11%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Guardians are 8-36 (.182) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Guardians are 30-3 (.909) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

The Guardians are 31-2 (.939) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Guardians are 8-38 (.174) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The White Sox are just 5-37 (.119) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The White Sox are 7-2 (.778) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are just 20-27 (.426) at home this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The White Sox are just 4-26 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

Guardians hitters have just 646 strikeouts in 3,507 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Guardians hitters have not struck out in 6 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .615 (912 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .439 (253 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.

The White Sox are batting .396 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .338.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of .787 (727 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

The White Sox are batting .369 in hitter’s counts since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .338.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .191 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

Guardians pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .191 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .224.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.47 (415.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 337 of 3,649 batters (9%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Joshua Harrison (White Sox): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Finger, D15
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Jacob Burger (White Sox): Hand, D10
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Luis Robert (White Sox): Illness, D10
  • Oscar Gonzalez (Guardians): Ribs, D10
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Aaron Civale (Guardians): Wrist, D15
  • Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D15

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on White Sox vs Guardians and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.