- The – are favorites vs the –
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen
- White Sox starting pitcher: –
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Cleveland Guardians () visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox () on Saturday, July 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Guardians vs White Sox Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 52-52 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 52-53 ATS.
Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | O | ||
| White Sox | U |
Guardians vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 67.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs White Sox and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+13.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 away games (+10.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+9.45 Units / 61% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.00 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 36 of his last 42 games (+24.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+14.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+12.60 Units / 105% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+11.50 Units / 74% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 88 games (+14.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 53 games (+12.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 62 games (+11.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 53 games (+3.60 Units / 5% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+11.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+9.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.40 Units / 45% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 52-52 against the Run Line (-0.5 Units / -0.38% ROI).
- 52-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.95 Units / -8.14% ROI
- 43-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.3 Units / -17.62% ROI
- 57-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.4 Units / 9.13% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 52-53 against the Run Line (-11.95 Units / -8.43% ROI).
- 42-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.3 Units / -17.67% ROI
- 47-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -8.27% ROI
- 52-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 0.34% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Allen has allowed an OBP of just .196 (46 PA’s) over the last 14 days (2 games) — 2nd best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .301 — 97th Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed an OBP of just .189 (37 PA’s) against right-handed batters — 7th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .299 — 91st Percentile.
Logan Allen had a strike rate of 75% (63/84) — 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .050 (1 GB hit out of 20 GBs) against Logan Allen with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians are 27-88 (.235) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Guardians are 29-70 (.293) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Guardians are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 11-31 (.262) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .146.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox are just 5-16 (.238) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The White Sox are just 34-6 (.850) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The White Sox are just 104-9 (.920) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The White Sox are just 6-17 (.261) after a win as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,307 strikeouts in 7,355 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have just 722 strikeouts in 3,934 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have just 537 strikeouts in 2,742 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,844 strikeouts in 10,097 PA’s (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .455 (2,073 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .215 (2,073 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .293 (2,099 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 153 of 2,396 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 2.80 (273.1 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.44 (481.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.82 (1161.1 IP) on the road since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 411 of 4,077 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Biceps, D15
- Trayce Thompson (White Sox): Undisclosed, D60
- Shane Bieber (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Cal Quantrill (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Guardians): Finger, D15
- Peyton Battenfield (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
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