Guardians vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 22

Chicago White Sox' Kyle Teel, right, is greeted by Lenyn Sosa after he scored on a double by Brooks Baldwin during the first inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals, Friday, Sept. 26, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/Nick Wass)
(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
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  • The Guardians are -115 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Guardians vs White Sox Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Guardians / White Sox TV Channel: GDTV | CHSN

The Cleveland Guardians (-115) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-105) on June 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Guardians are 41-37 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 42-32 ATS.

Guardians vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 9-4, 3.82 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Anthony Kay 6-2, 4.61 ERA

Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians-1.5 +145O 7.5 +100-115
White Sox +1.5 -175U 7.5 -120-105

Guardians vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Travis Bazzana has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+15.30 Units / 170% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+13.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Walks Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.70 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Sam Antonacci has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+26.00 Units / 433% ROI)
  • Colson Montgomery has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+11.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.30 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Colson Montgomery has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Tristan Peters has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 away games (+14.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 50 away games (+13.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 away games (+13.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+6.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 24 games at home (+18.10 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+13.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 24 games at home (+12.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.70 Units / 24% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 39-38 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -1.57% ROI).

  • 41-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 4% ROI
  • 38-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.65 Units / -6.62% ROI
  • 40-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -2.49% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 42-32 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -1.87% ROI).

  • 39-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.75 Units / 10.99% ROI
  • 44-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.15 Units / 13.41% ROI
  • 30-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.75 Units / -22.31% ROI

White Sox vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Colson Montgomery +270
Kyle Manzardo +380
David Fry +390
Rhys Hoskins +390
Miguel Vargas +400

White Sox vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Travis Bazzana 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Sam Antonacci 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Brayan Rocchio 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Braden Montgomery 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

White Sox vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Travis Bazzana 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Stuart Fairchild 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Chase Meidroth 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Guardians are just 1-28 (.034) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.

The Guardians are 22-14 (.611) after a loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .489.

The Guardians are 13-2 (.867) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Guardians are 15-10 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The White Sox are 7-29 (.194) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .140.

The White Sox are 24-12 (.667) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The White Sox are just 3-19 (.136) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The White Sox are just 14-118 (.106) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.

The Guardians are hitting just .163 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .370 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .223 against starting pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have an OBP of just .277 (327 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

The White Sox are batting just .136 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

White Sox hitters are slugging .435 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

White Sox hitters have missed on 28% of swings this season — highest in MLB.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .989 (539 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in late innings this season — best in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (333.0 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the White Sox pitchers this season traveled 443.8 feet — — 4th shortest in MLB

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.