- The White Sox are -140 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians starting pitcher: Peyton Battenfield
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Clevinger
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Cleveland Guardians (+120) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-140) on Wednesday, May 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Guardians vs White Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 19-22 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 20-23 ATS.
Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -165 | O 9 -120 | +120 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +140 | U 9 +100 | -140 |
Guardians vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 66.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 40 games (+19.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 40 games (+16.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 37 games (+10.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+9.45 Units / 68% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.45 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Robert has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.30 Units / 56% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+10.60 Units / 81% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.95 Units / 111% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+9.50 Units / 95% ROI)
White Sox vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
White Sox vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
White Sox vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
White Sox vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Clevinger | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games (+13.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.75 Units / 26% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+4.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+3.15 Units / 37% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 16-25 against the Run Line (-10.6 Units / -20.8% ROI).
- 19-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.05 Units / -18.32% ROI
- 14-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.4 Units / -29.74% ROI
- 25-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.75 Units / 21.57% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 20-23 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -10.88% ROI).
- 15-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.75 Units / -28.65% ROI
- 22-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.45 Units / 5.17% ROI
- 18-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.05 Units / -12.79% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
17 of Peyton Battenfield’s 25 strikeouts (68%) have come on cutters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 100th Percentile.
Peyton Battenfield has not walked any of the 48 batters that he has faced — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Peyton Battenfield has allowed an OBP of just .115 (26 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days (2 games) — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .222 — 95th Percentile.
Peyton Battenfield has located his pitches away 63% of the time (67/106) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 14% (5/36) against Mike Clevinger — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (14/48) against Mike Clevinger in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Mike Clevinger has attempted to pick off a runner at second base 7 timesthis season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 5% (1/19) against Mike Clevinger — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians are 22-71 (.237) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Guardians are 16-75 (.176) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .089.
The Guardians are 6-14 (.300) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Guardians are 4-15 (.211) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox are just 11-5 (.688) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox are just 6-7 (.462) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .684.
The White Sox are just 6-21 (.222) when underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The White Sox are just 11-55 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 998 strikeouts in 5,593 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .645 (2,101 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .347 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have won just 20% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of .335 (1,655 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .511 (142 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The White Sox are batting .267 against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 20 of 371 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 113 of 1,560 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 108 of 1,831 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .306 against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox pitchers have walked 169 of 1,702 batters (10%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against White Sox pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Billy Hamilton (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Appendix, D10
- Elvis Andrus (White Sox): Oblique, D10
- Joshua-Douglas Naylor (Guardians): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Oblique, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
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