- The Yankees are -160 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
- Watch the game on YES
The Cleveland Guardians (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-160) on Tuesday, May 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Guardians vs Yankees Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 14-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 13-17 ATS.
Guardians vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -160 | O 7 -110 | +135 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +135 | U 7 -110 | -160 |
Guardians vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+12.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 27 games (+8.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+8.65 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+8.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.25 Units / 34% ROI)
Yankees vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Mike Zunino | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Yankees vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Yankees vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -750 |
Yankees vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -105 |
| Tanner Bibee | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.50 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 away games (+1.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games (+5.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+4.40 Units / 17% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 12-17 against the Run Line (-4.7 Units / -13.3% ROI).
- 14-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -16.79% ROI
- 11-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.65 Units / -24.02% ROI
- 17-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.95 Units / 15.49% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 13-17 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -10.52% ROI).
- 15-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -9.09% ROI
- 10-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.95 Units / -33.18% ROI
- 19-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.95 Units / 23.98% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Bibee has limited playing time.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .197 (76 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .310 — 96th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .221 (30 Total Bases / 136 ABs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .400 — 98th Percentile.
55% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
52% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Guardians are 21-67 (.239) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .120.
The Guardians are 15-70 (.176) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Guardians are 2-12 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Guardians are 21-45 (.318) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .196.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Yankees are 21-34 (.382) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Yankees are 12-52 (.188) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .120.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters are slugging just .344 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .646 (1,948 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Guardians hitters have just 936 strikeouts in 5,324 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 196 walks in 1,813 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging just .270 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .437.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .237 (139 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Yankees hitters have drawn 34 walks in 264 PA’s (13%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 13 of 264 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Guardians pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 518 of 7,102 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Hip, D10
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Jakob Bauers (Yankees): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Sam D. Hentges (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Oblique, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
Bet now on Guardians vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
