Mariners vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 15

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 15, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Mariners (62-54) are -110 favorites vs the Angels (51-64)
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo (5-4), 2.70 ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani (10-7), 2.67 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Seattle Mariners (-110) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-110) on Monday, August 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Mariners vs Angels Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mariners are 62-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 55-60 ATS.

Mariners vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5 +165O 6.5 +100-110
Angels +1.5 -200U 6.5 -120-110

Mariners vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s matchup with 70.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 43 away games (+22.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 43 away games (+11.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+11.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.40 Units / 49% ROI)

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 44 games (+26.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+16.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 games (+14.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+11.80 Units / 23% ROI)

Angels vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
David Fletcher 0.5 +1250 0.5
Jared Walsh 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Jo Adell 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Jose Rojas 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Luis Rengifo 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

Angels vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
David Fletcher 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Jared Walsh 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Jo Adell 0.5 -110 0.5 -130
Jose Rojas 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Luis Rengifo 0.5 -185 0.5 +125

Angels vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
David Fletcher 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Jared Walsh 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Jo Adell 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Jose Rojas 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Luis Rengifo 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Angels vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani 7.5 -120 7.5 -115
Castillo 6.5 -155 6.5 +110
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 48 games (+18.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 57 games (+10.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games (+5.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 away games (+2.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 59 games at home (+12.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 54 games (+10.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.40 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.25 Units / 26% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 58-58 against the Run Line (-9.35 Units / -6.03% ROI).

  • 62-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.5 Units / 6.13% ROI
  • 55-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -3.7% ROI
  • 55-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.4 Units / -4.2% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 55-60 against the Run Line (-9.2 Units / -6.44% ROI).

  • 51-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.1 Units / -17.34% ROI
  • 50-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.8 Units / -10.8% ROI
  • 58-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 2.9% ROI

Luis Castillo has at least 6 strikeouts in each of his last nine games — Gerrit Cole has the longest active streak at 11.

Opponents are hitting just .196 (71-for-363) against Luis Castillo this season — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .135 (12-for-89) against Luis Castillo when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .240 — 97th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 48% (39 SO in 82 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.908 (92 PA’s) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.098 — 99th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani is slugging 1.180 (59 total bases in 50 ABs) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .608 — 98th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.755 (221 PA’s) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.149 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 40% (130/327) against Shohei Ohtani this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Mariners are 46-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Mariners are 9-5 (.643) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are 42-7 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.

The Mariners are 46-1 (.979) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Angels are just 2-8 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 6-30 (.167) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.

The Angels are just 7-39 (.152) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Angels are just 6-29 (.171) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .301 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .258 (1,037 PA’s) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .303.

Mariners hitters have drawn 135 walks in 1,223 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Angels are batting just .146 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.

Angels hitters have an OPS of just .643 (3,149 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.

The Angels are batting just .233 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Angels hitters have 791 strikeouts in 2,962 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Mariners have won 39% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Angels pitchers have walked 972 of 10,488 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have won only 5% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Angels pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Angels have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Angels vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • McKenzie Moniak (Angels): Finger, D10
  • Michael Trout (Angels): Back, D10
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D60
  • Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
  • Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
  • Matthew Boyd (Mariners): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.