- The Mariners (62-54) are -110 favorites vs the Angels (51-64)
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo (5-4), 2.70 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani (10-7), 2.67 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Seattle Mariners (-110) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-110) on Monday, August 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Mariners vs Angels Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 62-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 55-60 ATS.
Mariners vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +165 | O 6.5 +100 | -110 |
| Angels | +1.5 -200 | U 6.5 -120 | -110 |
Mariners vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s matchup with 70.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 43 away games (+22.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 43 away games (+11.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+11.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.40 Units / 49% ROI)
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 44 games (+26.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+16.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 games (+14.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+11.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Angels vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Fletcher | 0.5 +1250 | 0.5 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jose Rojas | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Angels vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Fletcher | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
| Jose Rojas | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
Angels vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Fletcher | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Rojas | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Angels vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 -115 |
| Castillo | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 48 games (+18.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 57 games (+10.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games (+5.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 away games (+2.20 Units / 15% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 59 games at home (+12.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 54 games (+10.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.25 Units / 26% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 58-58 against the Run Line (-9.35 Units / -6.03% ROI).
- 62-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.5 Units / 6.13% ROI
- 55-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -3.7% ROI
- 55-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.4 Units / -4.2% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 55-60 against the Run Line (-9.2 Units / -6.44% ROI).
- 51-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.1 Units / -17.34% ROI
- 50-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.8 Units / -10.8% ROI
- 58-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 2.9% ROI
Luis Castillo: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has at least 6 strikeouts in each of his last nine games — Gerrit Cole has the longest active streak at 11.
Opponents are hitting just .196 (71-for-363) against Luis Castillo this season — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .135 (12-for-89) against Luis Castillo when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .240 — 97th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 48% (39 SO in 82 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.908 (92 PA’s) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.098 — 99th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani is slugging 1.180 (59 total bases in 50 ABs) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .608 — 98th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.755 (221 PA’s) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.149 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 40% (130/327) against Shohei Ohtani this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Mariners are 46-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Mariners are 9-5 (.643) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 42-7 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Mariners are 46-1 (.979) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Angels are just 2-8 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 6-30 (.167) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
The Angels are just 7-39 (.152) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Angels are just 6-29 (.171) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .301 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .258 (1,037 PA’s) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .303.
Mariners hitters have drawn 135 walks in 1,223 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting just .146 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .643 (3,149 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.
The Angels are batting just .233 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Angels hitters have 791 strikeouts in 2,962 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Mariners have won 39% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 972 of 10,488 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have won only 5% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Angels pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Angels have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Angels vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- McKenzie Moniak (Angels): Finger, D10
- Michael Trout (Angels): Back, D10
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Matthew Boyd (Mariners): Elbow, D60
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