- The Mariners are -120 favorites vs the Angels
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Seattle Mariners (-120) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+100) on Sunday, June 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Mariners vs Angels Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 31-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 32-34 ATS.
Mariners vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -105 | -120 |
| Angels | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 -115 | +100 |
Mariners vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 55.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 50 games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+11.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Drury has hit the RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+7.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+7.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 34 games (+6.90 Units / 14% ROI)
Angels vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Angels vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Angels vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Angels vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Griffin Canning | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
| Logan Gilbert | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+4.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+1.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 away games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 13% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+7.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 43 games (+3.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.40 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.15 Units / 17% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 30-33 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -6.85% ROI).
- 31-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.05 Units / -8.78% ROI
- 31-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -4.83% ROI
- 31-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -3.94% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 32-34 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -6.26% ROI).
- 35-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -2.43% ROI
- 31-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -5.04% ROI
- 31-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -4.24% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .126 (159 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .245 (278 PA’s) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .087 (13-for-150) against Logan Gilbert with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has walked 13 of 280 batters (5%) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .700 (21 Total Bases / 30 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .397 — fourth Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed an OPS of 1.050 (51 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .728 — third Percentile.
Griffin Canning has thrown breaking pitches 57% of the time (116/202) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Griffin Canning has thrown off-speed pitches 67% of the time (518/769) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total NonFB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Mariners are just 0-13 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
The Mariners are 22-3 (.880) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Mariners are just 2-22 (.083) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Mariners are just 2-16 (.111) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 9-17 (.346) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are 9-7 (.562) after a win as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .449.
The Angels are just 12-58 (.171) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .259 (270 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Mariners are batting just .220 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .274 (654 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .302 (2,418 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have put just 24% of their swings in play with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .304 (1,079 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 161 of 2,350 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 38 of 565 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 9 of 226 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 30 days (26 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 180 of 2,023 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 58 of 583 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have 369 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 5th most in MLB.
Angels pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D60
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Moore (Angels): Oblique, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D15
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Trevor Gott (Mariners): Back, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
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