- The Angels (34-38) are -155 favorites vs the Mariners (32-39)
- Mariners starting pitcher: Christoper Flexen (2-8), 4.23 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen (6-4), 4.15 ERA
- Watch the game on BSW
The Seattle Mariners (+130) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-155) on Friday, June 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Mariners vs Angels Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 32-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 35-37 ATS.
Mariners vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -145 | O 9.5 -120 | +130 |
| Angels | -1.5 +120 | U 9.5 +100 | -155 |
Mariners vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s matchup with 58.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 away games (+13.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 37 away games (+9.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+8.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 30 away games (+7.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 16 away games (+6.70 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+4.10 Units / 82% ROI)
- Andrew Velazquez has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+4.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Runs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Singles Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 42% ROI)
Angels vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Velazquez | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Angels vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Velazquez | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -110 |
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
Angels vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Velazquez | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Angels vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Lorenzen | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
| Chris Flexen | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.30 Units / 43% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 59 games (+7.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games at home (+7.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.05 Units / 11% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 34-37 against the Run Line (-9.75 Units / -10.23% ROI).
- 32-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -8.73% ROI
- 34-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -6.83% ROI
- 36-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -1.53% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 35-37 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -3.8% ROI).
- 34-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.6 Units / -14.79% ROI
- 33-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.55 Units / -8.23% ROI
- 36-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -0.38% ROI
Christoper Flexen: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (112/206) of opposing batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (80/236) against Chris Flexen this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.
Chris Flexen has a strike rate of just 61% (417/686) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — fourth Percentile.
Chris Flexen has thrown his slider 41% of the time (354/866) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has walked 11 of 74 batters (15%) versus the heart of the order this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 37% (68/184) against Michael Lorenzen on sliders this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 50% — second Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .237 (32 Total Bases / 135 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .401 — 99th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OBP of just .243 (144 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .303 — 93rd Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Mariners are just 8-33 (.195) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Mariners are just 2-31 (.061) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Mariners are just 31-33 (.484) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Mariners are 15-5 (.750) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .673.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Angels are just 31-7 (.816) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Angels are just 5-19 (.208) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .285.
The Angels are just 3-20 (.130) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Angels are just 30-4 (.882) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .923.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .157 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters have drawn 86 walks in 725 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Mariners are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
The Mariners are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting just .232 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Angels hitters have 197 strikeouts in 819 PA’s (24%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Angels hitters have chased 37% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 8 of 244 batters (3%) over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Angels pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Angels pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Angels pitchers with runners on base this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Angels pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 54 double plays in 486 opportunities (11%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Angels vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Warren (Angels): Triceps, D15
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
- Tyler France (Mariners): Elbow, Day-to-Day
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