Mariners vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 16

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 16, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Mariners (80-62) are -160 favorites vs the Angels (61-82)
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Robert Ray (12-9), 3.56 ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen (6-6), 4.69 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSW

The Seattle Mariners (-160) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+135) on Friday, September 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Mariners vs Angels Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mariners are against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are ATS.

Mariners vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5 +105O 8 +100-160
Angels +1.5 -125U 8 -120+135

Mariners vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Friday‘s matchup with confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 43 of his last 54 away games (+25.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 37 of his last 54 away games (+14.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+12.15 Units / 122% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 26 away games (+12.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.45 Units / 50% ROI)

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 34 games at home (+26.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 games at home (+14.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 46 of his last 66 games (+12.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Jared Walsh has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+11.55 Units / 72% ROI)

Angels vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
David Fletcher 0.5 +1150 0.5
Jo Adell 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Luis Rengifo 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Matt Duffy 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Max Stassi 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200

Angels vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
David Fletcher 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Jo Adell 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Luis Rengifo 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Matt Duffy 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Max Stassi 0.5 -115 0.5 -125

Angels vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
David Fletcher 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
Jo Adell 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Luis Rengifo 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Matt Duffy 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Max Stassi 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Angels vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Lorenzen 3.5 -145 3.5 +105
Robbie Ray 6.5 -110 6.5 -125
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 62 games (+13.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 44 of their last 83 games (+9.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 40 of their last 71 games at home (+14.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.55 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.90 Units / 8% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (888/1,864) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (371/831) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.

Robbie Ray has had third base stolen on him 11 times since the start of last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 41% of the time (1,603/3,946) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael Lorenzen has a strike rate of just 57% (174/307) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (44/231) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (8/51) against Michael Lorenzen when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% (123/231) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 93rd Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

keys to the game – away

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

keys to the game – home

team hitters – away

team hitters – home

team pitchers – away

Angels pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Angels pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels pitchers have walked 1,071 of 11,546 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Angels have won just 13% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jhonathan Diaz (Angels): Undisclosed, D60
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Andrew Velazquez (Angels): Foot, D10
  • Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Dylan Moore (Mariners): Oblique, D10
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.