- The Angels (63-82) are -135 favorites vs the Mariners (80-64)
- Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales (10-13), 3.88 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers (5-5), 3.82 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Seattle Mariners (+110) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-135) on Sunday, September 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Mariners vs Angels Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are ATS.
Mariners vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -105 | +110 |
| Angels | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -115 | -135 |
Mariners vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 52 away games (+20.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 28 away games (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 28 away games (+10.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 52 away games (+9.95 Units / 13% ROI)
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 36 games at home (+25.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 36 games at home (+15.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 44 games at home (+12.10 Units / 13% ROI)
Angels vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jo Adell | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Matt Thaiss | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Michael Stefanic | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Angels vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jo Adell | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Luis Rengifo | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Matt Thaiss | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Michael Stefanic | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
Angels vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jo Adell | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Matt Thaiss | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Michael Stefanic | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
Angels vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Reid Detmers | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +105 |
| Marco Gonzales | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 64 games (+10.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 45 of their last 85 games (+9.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+0.40 Units / 2% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 41 of their last 73 games at home (+14.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.70 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.40 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Marco Gonzales: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 28% (88 SO in 317 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has struck out just 12% (67/542) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (73/471) against Marco Gonzales this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 18% (36 SO in 198 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — sixth Percentile.
Reid Detmers: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reid Detmers has walked 22 of 170 batters (13%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.
Reid Detmers has walked 36 of 369 right-handed batters (10%) this season — tied for 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 7% — ninth Percentile.
71% of Reid Detmers’ fastball strikeouts are elevatedthis season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 53% — 93rd Percentile.
Reid Detmers has thrown elevated pitches 44% of the time (269/610) with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 96th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Mariners are 11-6 (.647) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 7-57 (.109) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Mariners are 53-9 (.855) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Mariners are 16-2 (.889) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Angels are just 2-11 (.154) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 8-33 (.195) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Angels are just 33-40 (.452) at home this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Angels are just 6-60 (.091) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .118.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .306 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Mariners are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .640 (3,484 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Angels hitters have 1,011 strikeouts in 3,762 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have 1,398 strikeouts in 5,349 PA’s (26%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Angels are batting just .219 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 878 of 11,423 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% over the past seven days (5 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,080 of 11,620 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 112 of 1,289 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Angels pitchers have allowed the 4th hardest ball in play hit (115.0 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Angels vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hand, D10
- Jhonathan Diaz (Angels): Undisclosed, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Andrew Velazquez (Angels): Foot, D60
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Eugenio Suárez (Mariners): Finger, D10
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Back, Day-to-Day
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