Mariners vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 19

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 19, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Mariners (80-65) are -130 favorites vs the Angels (64-82)
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert (12-6), 3.18 ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: José Suarez (6-7), 3.84 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Seattle Mariners (-130) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+110) on Monday, September 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Mariners vs Angels Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mariners are 79-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 68-75 ATS.

Mariners vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5 +135O 7.5 -120-130
Angels +1.5 -160U 7.5 +100+110

Mariners vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 52 away games (+20.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 29 away games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.45 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 away games (+11.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 52 away games (+9.95 Units / 13% ROI)

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 37 games at home (+27.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 37 games at home (+16.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 45 games at home (+13.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 48 of his last 69 games (+12.50 Units / 10% ROI)

Angels vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Rengifo 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Matt Duffy 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Mike Ford 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Taylor Ward 0.5 +425 0.5 -900

Angels vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Rengifo 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Matt Duffy 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Mike Ford 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Taylor Ward 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Angels vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Rengifo 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Matt Duffy 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Mike Ford 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Taylor Ward 0.5 +160 0.5 -250

Angels vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Suarez 4.5 -115 4.5 -125
Logan Gilbert 5.5 +105 5.5 -150
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 13 of their last 21 away games (+6.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 42 of their last 74 games at home (+15.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.70 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.40 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.35 Units / 24% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 77-64 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 2.1% ROI).

  • 79-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.75 Units / 6.63% ROI
  • 64-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -8.28% ROI
  • 71-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 0.76% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 68-75 against the Run Line (-13.85 Units / -7.78% ROI).

  • 64-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.7 Units / -14.09% ROI
  • 65-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -6.17% ROI
  • 68-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -1.67% ROI

Opponents are hitting .479 (35-for-73) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .341 — second Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (144/486) against Logan Gilbert this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (175/486) against Logan Gilbert this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 26% (336/1,308) against Logan Gilbert this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — third Percentile.

José Suarez: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Suarez has a first-pitch strike rate of 82% (41/50) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters batted .471 (8-for-17) against Jose Suarez — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .214 — first Percentile.

Opponents batted .391 (9-for-23) against Jose Suarez — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .211 — first Percentile.

Jose Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (13 Total Bases / 26 ABs) with two-strikes — tied for 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .236 — third Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Mariners are 16-2 (.889) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Mariners are 7-58 (.108) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Mariners are 53-9 (.855) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

The Mariners are 11-6 (.647) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Angels are just 2-11 (.154) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 6-39 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The Angels are just 3-64 (.045) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Angels are just 30-42 (.417) on the road this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .301 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

The Mariners are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Mariners are batting just .306 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Angels hitters have 1,398 strikeouts in 5,349 PA’s (26%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Angels are batting just .236 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Angels hitters have 1,011 strikeouts in 3,762 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels hitters have an OPS of just .661 (1,587 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 878 of 11,423 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 1,080 of 11,620 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Angels pitchers have walked 112 of 1,289 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Angels have won just 13% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • David Fletcher (Angels): Hand, D10
  • Jhonathan Diaz (Angels): Undisclosed, D60
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Andrew Velazquez (Angels): Foot, D60
  • Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Eugenio Suárez (Mariners): Finger, D10
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
  • Caleb Raleigh (Mariners): Thumb, Day-to-Day
  • Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Back, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.