- The – are favorites vs the –
- Mariners starting pitcher: Emerson Hancock
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown
- Watch the game on Peacock
The Seattle Mariners () visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros () on Sunday, August 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Houston.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Mariners vs Astros Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 68-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 62-62 ATS.
Mariners vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | O | ||
| Astros | U |
Mariners vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 73.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Mariners vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+15.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+12.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 37 games (+11.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+11.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+11.40 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+10.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games at home (+10.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Astros vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Astros vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Astros vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
Astros vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Brown | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -115 |
| Emerson Hancock | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -110 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 43 games (+14.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+12.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 away games (+8.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 44 games (+5.79 Units / 11% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 89 games (+8.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 61 games at home (+7.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+5.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 101 games (+3.30 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 51 games (+3.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 62-61 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 0.13% ROI).
- 68-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -1.1% ROI
- 61-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -4 Units / -2.93% ROI
- 59-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.55 Units / -5.62% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 62-62 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -1.8% ROI).
- 70-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -0.82% ROI
- 61-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -4.22% ROI
- 60-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -4.53% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Emerson Hancock has a strikeout rate of just 10% (4 SO in 41 PAs) over the last 30 days (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (4/34) against Emerson Hancock over the last 30 days (2 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 54% of Emerson Hancock’s pitches (88/163) over the last 30 days (2 games) — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 95th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (103/181) against Hunter Brown this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (144/237) against Hunter Brown’s curve and slider since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has thrown breaking pitches 51% of the time (521/1,026) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has thrown breaking pitches 54% of the time (278/520) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Mariners are 35-4 (.897) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Mariners are 11-6 (.647) after a win as underdogs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .439.
The Mariners are 120-5 (.960) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Mariners are 19-13 (.594) after a road win this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Astros are 14-11 (.560) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Astros are 83-13 (.865) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Astros are 11-7 (.611) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Astros are 120-13 (.902) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .167 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Mariners are batting just .116 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 564 strikeouts in 3,177 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 944 strikeouts in 5,258 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters are slugging .597 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .373.
Astros hitters are slugging .519 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .358.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 312 of 4,550 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 763 of 10,580 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 35% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.19 (1288.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.
The Astros pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Astros have allowed 3.63 runs per game (1,039/286) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
Astros vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Tucker (Astros): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Graeber Kessinger (Astros): Health and Safety Protocols, D10
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- José Abreu (Astros): Back, D10
- Phillip Maton (Astros): Elbow, D15
- John Crawford (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- Emerson Hancock (Mariners): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Bryan Woo (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Thumb, D10
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Jose Caballero (Mariners): Shin/Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Jarred Kelenic (Mariners): Foot, D10
Bet now on Mariners vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
