• The Mariners are -130 favorites vs the Astros
• Mariners vs Astros Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Mariners / Astros TV Channel: MRTV | SCHN

The Seattle Mariners (-130) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (+110) on May 14, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Mariners are against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are ATS.

Mariners vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 0-4, 6.70 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Michael Burrows 2-4, 5.04 ERA

Mariners vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mariners vs Astros and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• J.P. Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+18.00 Units / 200% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.10 Units / 38% ROI)
• Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+11.45 Units / 62% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+11.00 Units / 110% ROI)
• Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.50 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Braden Shewmake has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+15.00 Units / 250% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 44% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.80 Units / 36% ROI)
• Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+9.00 Units / 84% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+7.85 Units / 33% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+7.70 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.05 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 away games (+6.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 66% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 45% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.70 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+7.90 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.15 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+0.90 Units / 7% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Astros vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Mariners are just 15-3 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Mariners are 9-4 (.692) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Astros (10th in runs scored).

The Mariners are 6-79 (.071) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .045.

The Mariners are 10-71 (.123) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .093.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Astros are just 1-16 (.059) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Astros are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .137.

The Astros are just 0-25 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Astros are just 0-24 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends

Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .610 (488 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .282 (488 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .328 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .199 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

The Astros are batting .278 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .413 (189 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

The Astros are batting .339 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OPS of .784 (870 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 71% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a swing rate of 51% against the Mariners pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have walked 13% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 6.77 (122.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have allowed an OBP of .367 (1,735 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 5.54 (385.1 IP) this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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